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Related papers: Investigating climate tipping points under various…

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Tipping points associated with bifurcations (B-tipping) or induced by noise (N-tipping) are recognized mechanisms that may potentially lead to sudden climate change. We focus here a novel class of tipping points, where a sufficiently rapid…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Peter Ashwin , Sebastian Wieczorek , Renato Vitolo , Peter Cox

Along with the accumulation of atmospheric carbon dioxide, the loss of primary forests and other natural ecosystems is a major disruption of the Earth system causing global concern. Quantifying planetary warming from carbon emissions,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-28 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov , Anja Rammig , Antonio Donato Nobre

Planets similar to Earth - but slightly more irradiated - are expected to enter into a runaway greenhouse state, where all surface water rapidly evaporates, forming an optically thick H2O-dominated atmosphere. For Earth, this extreme…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Martin Turbet , David Ehrenreich , Christophe Lovis , Emeline Bolmont , Thomas Fauchez

The sensitivity of climate models to increasing CO2 concentration and the climate response at decadal time scales are still major factors of uncertainty for the assessment of the long and short term effects of anthropogenic climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Francesco Ragone , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

In the past decades human activities caused global Earth system changes, e.g., climate change or biodiversity loss. Simultaneously, these associated impacts have increased environmental awareness within societies across the globe, thereby…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-11 Paul Manuel Müller , Jobst Heitzig , Jürgen Kurths , Kathy Lüdge , Marc Wiedermann

Our recent work shows how M-Earth climates and transmission spectra depend on the amount of ice-free ocean on the planet's dayside and the mass of N2 in its atmosphere. M-Earths with more ice-free ocean and thicker atmospheres are hotter…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-26 Evelyn Macdonald , Kristen Menou , Christopher Lee , Adiv Paradise

We present a new approach to modeling the future development of extreme temperatures globally and on a long time-scale by using non-stationary generalized extreme value distributions in combination with logistic functions. This approach is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-07-28 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

Chapman's model for ozone concentration is studied. In this nonlinear model, the photodissociation coefficients for $O_{2}$ and $O_{3}$ are time-depending due to earth-rotation. From the Kapitsa's method, valid in the high frequency limit,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Flores , S. Montecinos

We study the tipping point collective dynamics of an adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemiological network in a data-driven, machine learning-assisted manner. We identify a parameter-dependent effective stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Nikolaos Evangelou , Tianqi Cui , Juan M. Bello-Rivas , Alexei Makeev , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

We study an ideal-gas-like model where the particles exchange energy stochastically, through energy conserving scattering processes, which take place if and only if at least one of the two particles has energy below a certain energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Asim Ghosh , Urna Basu , Anirban Chakraborti , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

We consider super-Earth sized planets which have a water mass fraction that is large enough to form an external mantle composed of high pressure water ice polymorphs and that lack a substantial H/He atmosphere. We consider such planets in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-05-01 Amit Levi , Dimitar Sasselov , Morris Podolak

The CMIP global climate models (GCMs) assess that nearly 100% of global surface warming observed between 1850-1900 and 2011-2020 is attributable to anthropogenic drivers like greenhouse gas emissions. These models also generate future…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-18 Nicola Scafetta

The state of earth's climate is constrained by well-known physical principles such as energy balance and the conservation of energy. Increased greenhouse gas concentrations affect the atmospheric optical depth, and physical consistency…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-06-27 Rasmus E. Benestad

The effect caused by the presence of a number of distinct time scales in a simple stochastic model for the Earth's atmosphere temperature fluctuations is studied. The model is described by a dissipative dynamics consisting of a set of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arturo Berrones

The stability of Earth's climate on geological timescales is enabled by the carbon-silicate cycle that acts as a negative feedback mechanism stabilizing surface temperatures via the intake and outgas of atmospheric carbon. On Earth, this…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-02 Diana Valencia , Vivian Yun Yan Tan , Zachary Zajac

Promoting and increasing energy efficiency is a promising method of reducing CO2 emissions and avoiding the potentially devastating effects of climate change. The question is: How do we induce a cultural or behavioural change whereby people…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 Federico Gallo , Pierluigi Contucci , Adam Coutts , Ignacio Gallo

In light of the rapid recent retreat of Arctic sea ice, the extreme weather events triggering the variability in Arctic ice cover has drawn increasing attention. A non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process is thought to be an appropriate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Fang Yang , Yayun Zheng , Jinqiao Duan , Ling Fu , Stephen Wiggins

Understanding surface temperature is important for habitability. Recent work on Mars has found that the dependence of surface temperature on elevation (surface lapse rate) converges to zero in the limit of a thin CO2 atmosphere. However,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-20 Bowen Fan , Malte F. Jansen , Michael A. Mischna , Edwin S. Kite

The solution of energy-balance model of the Earth global climate and the EPICA Dome C and Vostok experimental data of the Earth surface palaeotemperature evolution over past 420 and 740 kyr are compared. In the framework of proposed…

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