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In the face of increasing financial uncertainty and market complexity, this study presents a novel risk-aware financial forecasting framework that integrates advanced machine learning techniques with intuitionistic fuzzy multi-criteria…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-23 Safiye Turgay , Serkan Erdoğan , Željko Stević , Orhan Emre Elma , Tevfik Eren , Zhiyuan Wang , Mahmut Baydaş

The area of computing with uncertainty considers problems where some information about the input elements is uncertain, but can be obtained using queries. For example, instead of the weight of an element, we may be given an interval that is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Thomas Erlebach , Michael Hoffmann , Murilo S. de Lima

Due to the fact that basic uncertain information provides a simple form for decision information with certainty degree, it has been developed to reflect the quality of observed or subjective assessments. In order to study the algebra…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Zhiyuan Zhou , Kai Xuan , Zhifu Tao , Ligang Zhou

We present an anytime algorithm which computes policies for decision problems represented as multi-stage influence diagrams. Our algorithm constructs policies incrementally, starting from a policy which makes no use of the available…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael C. Horsch , David L. Poole

Traditional approaches to ensure group fairness in algorithmic decision making aim to equalize ``total'' error rates for different subgroups in the population. In contrast, we argue that the fairness approaches should instead focus only on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Junaid Ali , Preethi Lahoti , Krishna P. Gummadi

We investigate crowdsourcing algorithms for finding the top-quality item within a large collection of objects with unknown intrinsic quality values. This is an important problem with many relevant applications, for example in networked…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Alessandro Nordio , Alberto Tarable , Emilio Leonardi , Marco Ajmone Marsan

Large-scale population-based studies in medicine are a key resource towards better diagnosis, monitoring, and treatment of diseases. They also serve as enablers of clinical decision support systems, in particular Computer Aided Diagnosis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Gerome Vivar , Anees Kazi , Hendrik Burwinkel , Andreas Zwergal , Nassir Navab , Seyed-Ahmad Ahmadi

Various methods have been developed to combine inference across multiple sets of results for unsupervised clustering, within the ensemble clustering literature. The approach of reporting results from one `best' model out of several…

Thus far, limited research has been performed on resilient supplier selection - a problem that requires simultaneous consideration of a set of numerical and linguistic evaluation criteria, which are substantially different from traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Dizuo Jiang , Md Mahmudul Hassan , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) are used for inference and prediction in a wide range of different applications providing a powerful scientific tool. An increasing number of sources of data are becoming available, introducing a…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-19 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

We propose policy gradient algorithms for robust infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) with non-rectangular uncertainty sets, thereby addressing an open challenge in the robust MDP literature. Indeed, uncertainty sets that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mengmeng Li , Daniel Kuhn , Tobias Sutter

Multi-Criteria Decision Making~(MCDM) is widely applied in various fields, using quantitative and qualitative analyses of multiple levels and attributes to support decision makers in making scientific and rational decisions in complex…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Hui Wang , Fafa Zhang , Chaoxu Mu

Data-driven models (DDM) based on machine learning and other AI techniques play an important role in the perception of increasingly autonomous systems. Due to the merely implicit definition of their behavior mainly based on the data used…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Janek Groß , Rasmus Adler , Michael Kläs , Jan Reich , Lisa Jöckel , Roman Gansch

In this paper, we present an information-theoretic method for clustering mixed-type data, that is, data consisting of both continuous and categorical variables. The proposed approach extends the Information Bottleneck principle to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Efthymios Costa , Ioanna Papatsouma , Angelos Markos

This paper proposes a grey interval relation TOPSIS for the decision making in which all of the attribute weights and attribute values are given by the interval grey numbers. The feature of our method different from other grey relation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-12 Gol Kim

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

We present a framework for computing with input data specified by intervals, representing uncertainty in the values of the input parameters. To compute a solution, the algorithm can query the input parameters that yield more refined…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Manoj Gupta , Yogish Sabharwal , Sandeep Sen
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