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With the development of the financial industry, credit default prediction, as an important task in financial risk management, has received increasing attention. Traditional credit default prediction methods mostly rely on machine learning…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-25 Yuhan Wang , Zhen Xu , Yue Yao , Jinsong Liu , Jiating Lin

Critical transitions in multistable systems have been discussed as models for a variety of phenomena ranging from the extinctions of species to socio-economic changes and climate transitions between ice-ages and warm-ages. From bifurcation…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-24 Xiaozhu Zhang , Christian Kuehn , Sarah Hallerberg

Recent years have witnessed a growing interest in using machine learning to predict and identify phase transitions in various systems. Here we adopt convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to study the phase transitions of Vicsek model,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-06-27 Tingting Xue , Xu Li , Xiaosong Chen , Li Chen , Zhangang Han

Reservoir computing is a neural network approach for processing time-dependent signals that has seen rapid development in recent years. Physical implementations of the technique using optical reservoirs have demonstrated remarkable accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Daniel Canaday , Aaron Griffith , Daniel Gauthier

External and internal factors may cause a system's parameter to vary with time before it stabilizes. This drift induces a regime shift when the parameter crosses a bifurcation. Here, we study the case of an infinite dimensional system: a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-14 Julia Cantisán , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Identifying phase transitions and classifying phases of matter is central to understanding the properties and behavior of a broad range of material systems. In recent years, machine-learning (ML) techniques have been successfully applied to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-06-23 Julian Arnold , Frank Schäfer

Many problems in computational science and engineering become one-to-many after coarse graining, partial observation, or inverse reconstruction: a resolved state may not determine a unique subgrid forcing, a structural descriptor may not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Junfeng Chen

Non-autonomous dynamical systems help us to understand the implications of real systems which are in contact with their environment as it actually occurs in nature. Here, we focus on systems where a parameter changes with time at small but…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-09-24 Julia Cantisán , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Many control tasks can be formulated as a tracking problem of a known or unknown reference signal. Examples are movement compensation in collaborative robotics, the synchronisation of oscillations for power systems or reference tracking of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Janine Matschek , Andreas Himmel , Kai Sundmacher , Rolf Findeisen

We predict the emergence of extreme events in a parametrically driven nonlinear dynamical system using three Deep Learning models, namely Multi-Layer Perceptron, Convolutional Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory. The Deep Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , M. Senthilvelan

A general, variational approach to derive low-order reduced systems is presented. The approach is based on the concept of optimal parameterizing manifold (OPM) that substitutes the more classical notions of invariant or slow manifold when…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Traditional machine learning assumes a stationary data distribution, yet many real-world applications operate on nonstationary streams in which the underlying concept evolves over time. This problem can also be viewed as task-free continual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Michal Wozniak , Marek Klonowski , Maciej Maczynski , Bartosz Krawczyk

Selective Prediction is the task of rejecting inputs a model would predict incorrectly on. This involves a trade-off between input space coverage (how many data points are accepted) and model utility (how good is the performance on accepted…

Machine unlearning is the process of efficiently removing specific information from a trained machine learning model without retraining from scratch. Existing unlearning methods, which often provide provable guarantees, typically involve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Somnath Basu Roy Chowdhury , Rahul Kidambi , Avinava Dubey , David Wang , Gokhan Mergen , Amr Ahmed , Aranyak Mehta

We demonstrate, by means of a convolutional neural network, that the features learned in the two-dimensional Ising model are sufficiently universal to predict the structure of symmetry-breaking phase transitions in considered systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-25 Dimitrios Bachtis , Gert Aarts , Biagio Lucini

Reservoir computing is a machine learning approach that can generate a surrogate model of a dynamical system. It can learn the underlying dynamical system using fewer trainable parameters and hence smaller training data sets than competing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Daniel J. Gauthier , Ingo Fischer , André Röhm

In recent years, the application of machine learning approaches to time-series forecasting of climate dynamical phenomena has become increasingly active. It is known that applying a band-pass filter to a time-series data is a key to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Takuya Jinno , Takahito Mitsui , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki , Tsuyoshi Yoneda

Transition prediction is an important aspect of aerodynamic design because of its impact on skin friction and potential coupling with flow separation characteristics. Traditionally, the modeling of transition has relied on correlation-based…

Determining critical points of phase transitions from partial data is essential to avoid abrupt system collapses and reducing experimental or computational costs. However, the complex physical systems and phase transition phenomena have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-24 Tianyi Zhang , Caihua Wan , Xiufeng Han

In applications, an anticipated situation is where the system of interest has never been encountered before and sparse observations can be made only once. Can the dynamics be faithfully reconstructed from the limited observations without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Jun-Yin Huang , Benjamin D. Stern , Ying-Cheng Lai
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