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The spin-down law of pulsars is generally perturbed by two types of timing irregularities: glitches and timing noise. Glitches are sudden changes in the rotational frequency of pulsars, while timing noise is a discernible stochastic…

In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the output variability arising from the statistical noise in specifying the input models. This uncertainty can be measured by a variance contribution in the output, which, in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Glitches correspond to sudden jumps of rotation frequency ($\nu$) and its derivative ($\dot{\nu}$) of pulsars, the origin of which remains not well understood yet, partly because the jump processes of most glitches are not well…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-06-24 M. Y. Ge , S. N. Zhang , F. J. Lu , T. P. Li , J. P. Yuan , X. P. Zheng , Y. Huang , S. J. Zheng , Y. P. Chen , Z. Chang , Y. L. Tuo , Q. Cheng , C. Güngör , L. M. Song , Y. P. Xu , X. L. Cao , Y. Chen , C. Z. Liu , S. Zhang , J. L. Qu , Q. C. Bu , C. Cai , G. Chen , L. Chen , M. Z. Chen , T. X. Chen , Y. B. Chen , W. Cui , W. W. Cui , J. K. Deng , Y. W. Dong , Y. Y. Du , M. X. Fu , G. H. Gao , H. Gao , M. Gao , Y. D. Gu , J. Guan , C. C. Guo , D. W. Han , L. F. Hao , J. Huo , S. M. Jia , L. H. Jiang , W. C. Jiang , C. J. Jin , J. Jin , Y. J. Jin , L. D. Kong , B. Li , D. Li , C. K. Li , G. Li , M. S. Li , W. Li , X. Li , X. B. Li , X. F. Li , Y. G. Li , Z. W. Li , Z. X. Li , Z. Y. Liu , X. H. Liang , J. Y. Liao , G. Q. Liu , H. W. Liu , X. J. Liu , Y. N. Liu , B. Lu , X. F. Lu , Q. Luo , T. Luo , X. Ma , B. Meng , Y. Nang , J. Y. Nie , G. Ou , N. Sai , R. C. Shang , X. Y. Song , L. Sun , Y. Tan , L. Tao , C. Wang , G. F. Wang , J. Wang , J. B. Wang , M. Wang , N. Wang , W. S. Wang , Y. D. Wang , Y. S. Wang , X. Y. Wen , Z. G. Wen , B. B. Wu , B. Y. Wu , M. Wu , G. C. Xiao , S. Xiao , S. L. Xiong , Y. H. Xu , W. M. Yan , J. W. Yang , S. Yang , Y. J. Yang , Y. J. Yang , Q. B. Yi , Q. Q. Yin , Y. You , Y. L. Yue , A. M. Zhang , C. M. Zhang , D. P. Zhang , F. Zhang , H. M. Zhang , J. Zhang , T. Zhang , W. C. Zhang , W. Zhang , W. Z. Zhang , Y. Zhang , Y. F. Zhang , Y. J. Zhang , Y. Zhang , Z. Zhang , Z. Zhang , Z. L. Zhang , H. S. Zhao , X. F. Zhao , W. Zheng , D. K. Zhou , J. F. Zhou , X. Zhou , R. L. Zhuang , Y. X. Zhu , Y. Zhu

This guide aims at providing a general introduction to bootstrap methods. By using simple examples taken from nuclear physics, I discuss how such a method can be used to quantify error bars of an estimator. I also investigate the use of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-05-22 A. Pastore

The phenomenon of pulsar nulling -- where pulsars occasionally turn off for one or more pulses -- provides insight into pulsar-emission mechanisms and the processes by which pulsars turn off when they cross the "death line." However, while…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 David L. Kaplan , Joseph K. Swiggum , Travis D. J. Fichtenbauer , Michele Vallisneri

In this paper we investigate how the bootstrap can be applied to time series regressions when the volatility of the innovations is random and non-stationary. The volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-12 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Anders Rahbek , Iliyan Georgiev

Context. Pulsars have a very stable rotation. However, sudden increases in their rotation frequency known as glitches, perturb their evolution. While large glitches are commonly detected, small glitches are harder to detect because of the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-06-26 E. Zubieta , F. Garcia , S. del Palacio , S. B. Araujo Furlan , G. Gancio , C. O. Lousto , J. A. Combi , C. M. Espinoza

There are currently two well-accepted models that explain how pulsars exhibit glitches, sudden changes in their regular rotational spin-down. According to the starquake model, the glitch healing parameter, Q, which is measurable in some…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Fronefield Crawford , Marek Demianski

Pulsars are stars that emit electromagnetic radiation in well-defined time intervals. The frequency of such pulses decays with time as is quantified by the {\it braking index} ($n$). In the canonical model $n = 3$ for all pulsars, but…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-11-28 H. O. Oliveira , N. S. Magalhaes , R. M. Marinho , G. A. Carvalho , C. Frajuca

Glitches are sudden increases in the rotation rate $\nu$ of neutron stars, which are thought to be driven by the neutron superfluid inside the star. The Vela pulsar presents a comparatively high rate of glitches, with 21 events reported…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2021-05-05 C. M. Espinoza , D. Antonopoulou , R. Dodson , M. Stepanova , A. Scherer

Gravitational waves are predicted by Einstein's theory of general relativity as well as other theories of gravity. The rotational stability of the fastest pulsars means that timing of an array of these objects can be used to detect and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 J. Ellis , M. A. McLaughlin , J. P. W. Verbiest

The interiors of mature neutron stars are expected to be superfluid. Superfluidity of matter on the microscopic scale can have a number of large scale, potentially observable consequences, as the superfluid component of the star can now…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-12-11 Vadym Khomenko , Marco Antonelli , Brynmor Haskell

Drift analysis is a powerful tool for analyzing the time complexity of evolutionary algorithms. However, it requires manual construction of drift functions to bound hitting time for each specific algorithm and problem. To address this…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Jun He , Siang Yew Chong , Xin Yao

Glitches are important to understand the internal structure of neutron stars. They are studied using timing observations. The best studied neutron star in this respect is the Crab Pulsar. The first glitch recorded in this pulsar occurred in…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-10-31 M. Vivekanand

Although there is an extensive literature on the eigenvalues of high-dimensional sample covariance matrices, much of it is specialized to independent components (IC) models -- in which observations are represented as linear transformations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

The non-linear autoregressive (NLAR) model plays an important role in modeling and predicting time series. One-step ahead prediction is straightforward using the NLAR model, but the multi-step ahead prediction is cumbersome. For instance,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

We present a modification of our previous model for the mechanisms underlying the glitch phenomena in pulsars and young neutron stars. Accordingly, pulsars are born with embryonic cores comprising of purely incompressible superconducting…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-02-24 A. A. Hujeirat , R. Samtaney

This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-04 Peter Kovesarki , Ian C. Brock

The inter-glitch timing of the Vela pulsar is characterized by a constant second derivative of the rotation rate. This takes over after the post-glitch exponential relaxation, and is completed at about the time of the next glitch. The…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-06-06 Onur Akbal , M. Ali Alpar , Sarah Buchner , David Pines