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A common practice in clinical trials is to evaluate a treatment effect on an intermediate endpoint when the true outcome of interest would be difficult or costly to measure. We consider how to validate intermediate endpoints in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Emily K. Roberts , Michael R. Elliott , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Identification of causal effects is one of the most fundamental tasks of causal inference. We consider an identifiability problem where some experimental and observational data are available but neither data alone is sufficient for the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Santtu Tikka , Juha Karvanen

Recent advancements in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and surrogate modelling have significantly enhanced the feasibility of Bayesian analysis across engineering fields. However, the selection and integration of surrogate models…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Leon Riccius , Iuri B. C. M. Rocha , Joris Bierkens , Hanne Kekkonen , Frans P. van der Meer

Surrogate models are statistical or conceptual approximations for more complex simulation models. In this context, it is crucial to propagate the uncertainty induced by limited simulation budget and surrogate approximation error to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Philipp Reiser , Javier Enrique Aguilar , Anneli Guthke , Paul-Christian Bürkner

We propose a model-agnostic approach for mitigating the prediction bias of a black-box decision-maker, and in particular, a human decision-maker. Our method detects in the feature space where the black-box decision-maker is biased and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Tong Wang , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

Performing reliability analysis on complex systems is often computationally expensive. In particular, when dealing with systems having high input dimensionality, reliability estimation becomes a daunting task. A popular approach to overcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-22 Navaneeth N. , Souvik Chakraborty

In this dissertation, we focus on several important problems in structured prediction. In structured prediction, the label has a rich intrinsic substructure, and the loss varies with respect to the predicted label and the true label pair.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Heejin Choi

This article introduces a new estimator of average treatment effects under unobserved confounding in modern data-rich environments featuring large numbers of units and outcomes. The proposed estimator is doubly robust, combining outcome…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-30 Alberto Abadie , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi , Abhin Shah

High-quality labeled data are essential for reliable statistical inference, but are often limited by validation costs. While surrogate labels provide cost-effective alternatives, their noise can introduce non-negligible bias. To address…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Jianmin Chen , Huiyuan Wang , Thomas Lumley , Xiaowu Dai , Yong Chen

An enduring challenge in computational biology is to balance data quality and quantity with model complexity. Tools such as identifiability analysis and information criterion have been developed to harmonise this juxtaposition, yet cannot…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-04 Alexander P Browning , Matthew J Simpson

We suggest double/debiased machine learning estimators of direct and indirect quantile treatment effects under a selection-on-observables assumption. This permits disentangling the causal effect of a binary treatment at a specific outcome…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-04 Yu-Chin Hsu , Martin Huber , Yu-Min Yen

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with machine learning has attracted substantial attention in both academic research and industrial practice. However, the two communities often evaluate models under markedly different conditions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 George Panagopoulos

Objective: Deep learning-based deformable image registration has achieved strong accuracy, but remains sensitive to variations in input image characteristics such as artifacts, field-of-view mismatch, or modality difference. We aim to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Yihao Liu , Junyu Chen , Lianrui Zuo , Shuwen Wei , Brian D. Boyd , Carmen Andreescu , Olusola Ajilore , Warren D. Taylor , Aaron Carass , Bennett A. Landman

We propose a doubly robust approach to characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies. We develop a frequentist inferential procedure that utilizes posterior distributions for both the propensity score and outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Heejun Shin , Joseph Antonelli

This paper considers the evaluation of discretely distributed treatments when outcomes are only observed for a subpopulation due to sample selection or outcome attrition. For identification, we combine a selection-on-observables assumption…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Michela Bia , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

The ongoing development of quantum processors is driving breakthroughs in scientific discovery. Despite this progress, the formidable cost of fabricating large-scale quantum processors means they will remain rare for the foreseeable future,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-24 Wei-You Liao , Yuxuan Du , Xinbiao Wang , Tian-Ci Tian , Yong Luo , Bo Du , Dacheng Tao , He-Liang Huang

Based on technological advances in sensing modalities, randomized trials with primary outcomes represented as high-dimensional vectors have become increasingly prevalent. For example, these outcomes could be week-long time-series data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Yujin Jeong , Emily Fox , Ramesh Johari

While estimation of the marginal (total) causal effect of a point exposure on an outcome is arguably the most common objective of experimental and observational studies in the health and social sciences, in recent years, investigators have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-18 Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Ilya Shpitser

Bayesian Optimization is a popular tool for tuning algorithms in automatic machine learning (AutoML) systems. Current state-of-the-art methods leverage Random Forests or Gaussian processes to build a surrogate model that predicts algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Jeroen van Hoof , Joaquin Vanschoren