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Statistical inference is considered for variables of interest, called primary variables, when auxiliary variables are observed along with the primary variables. We consider the setting of incomplete data analysis, where some primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Shinpei Imori , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

While deep learning has expanded the possibilities for highly expressive variational families, the practical benefits of these tools for variational inference (VI) are often limited by the minimization of the traditional Kullback-Leibler…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-18 Roman Soletskyi , Marylou Gabrié , Bruno Loureiro

We investigate the convergence properties of popular data-augmentation samplers for Bayesian probit regression. Leveraging recent results on Gibbs samplers for log-concave targets, we provide simple and explicit non-asymptotic bounds on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-21 Filippo Ascolani , Giacomo Zanella

We consider finite-dimensional linear Gaussian Bayesian inverse problems with uncorrelated sensor measurements. In this setting, it is known that the expected information gain, quantified by the expected Kullback-Leibler divergence from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Steven Maio , Alen Alexanderian

We study frequentist properties of Bayesian and $L_0$ model selection, with a focus on (potentially non-linear) high-dimensional regression. We propose a construction to study how posterior probabilities and normalized $L_0$ criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-07 David Rossell

Machine Learning models in real-world applications must continuously learn new tasks to adapt to shifts in the data-generating distribution. Yet, for Continual Learning (CL), models often struggle to balance learning new tasks (plasticity)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Luckeciano C. Melo , Alessandro Abate , Yarin Gal

Deep generative models with latent variables have been used lately to learn joint representations and generative processes from multi-modal data. These two learning mechanisms can, however, conflict with each other and representations can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Rogelio A. Mancisidor , Michael Kampffmeyer , Kjersti Aas , Robert Jenssen

Mutual information (MI) is a general measure of statistical dependence with widespread application across the sciences. However, estimating MI between multi-dimensional variables is challenging because the number of samples necessary to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-06 Gokul Gowri , Xiao-Kang Lun , Allon M. Klein , Peng Yin

Transfer learning, or domain adaptation, is concerned with machine learning problems in which training and testing data come from possibly different probability distributions. In this work, we give an information-theoretic analysis of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

The performance of machine learning classification algorithms are evaluated by estimating metrics, often from the confusion matrix, using training data and cross-validation. However, these do not prove that the best possible performance has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 L. Crow , S. J. Watts

The framework of Partial Information Decomposition (PID) unveils complex nonlinear interactions in network systems by dissecting the mutual information (MI) between a target variable and several source variables. While PID measures have…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-23 Chiara Barà , Yuri Antonacci , Marta Iovino , Ivan Lazic , Luca Faes

We study the fundamental and timely problem of learning long sequences in autoregressive modeling and next-token prediction under model misspecification, measured by the joint Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence. Our goal is to characterize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Yunbei Xu , Yuzhe Yuan , Ruohan Zhan

Experimental designs are tools which can dramatically reduce the number of simulations required by time-consuming computer codes. Because we don't know the true relation between the response and inputs, designs should allow one to fit a…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-11-04 Astrid Jourdan

Recent advances in deep learning have brought to the fore models that can make multiple computational steps in the service of completing a task; these are capable of describ- ing long-term dependencies in sequential data. Novel recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Kyriakos Tolias , Sotirios Chatzis

Bayesian predictive inference propagates parameter uncertainty to quantities of interest through the posterior-predictive distribution. In practice, this is typically performed using a two-stage procedure: first approximating the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Nan Feng , Xun Huan

Information measures can be constructed from R\'enyi divergences much like mutual information from Kullback-Leibler divergence. One such information measure is known as Sibson $\alpha$-mutual information and has received renewed attention…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar , Ibrahim Issa

Amortised inference enables scalable learning of sequential latent-variable models (LVMs) with the evidence lower bound (ELBO). In this setting, variational posteriors are often only partially conditioned. While the true posteriors depend,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Justin Bayer , Maximilian Soelch , Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Patrick van der Smagt

Determining the strength of non-linear statistical dependencies between two variables is a crucial matter in many research fields. The established measure for quantifying such relations is the mutual information. However, estimating mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

We derive information-theoretic lower bounds on the Bayes risk and generalization error of realizable machine learning models. In particular, we employ an analysis in which the rate-distortion function of the model parameters bounds the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Matthew Nokleby , Ahmad Beirami

Measuring mutual information from finite data is difficult. Recent work has considered variational methods maximizing a lower bound. In this paper, we prove that serious statistical limitations are inherent to any method of measuring mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-21 David McAllester , Karl Stratos
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