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Adding a column of numbers produces "carries" along the way. We show that random digits produce a pattern of carries with a neat probabilistic description: the carries form a one-dependent determinantal point process. This makes it easy to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-24 Alexei Borodin , Persi Diaconis , Jason Fulman

It is generally known that counting statistics is not correctly described by a Gaussian approximation. Nevertheless, in neutron scattering, it is common practice to apply this approximation to the counting statistics; also at low counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-09 Jakob Lassa , Magnus Egede Bøggild , Per Hedegård , Kim Lefmann

The analysis of observable phenomena (for instance, in biology or physics) allows the detection of dynamical behaviors and, conversely, starting from a desired behavior allows the design of objects exhibiting that behavior in engineering.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Antonio E. Porreca , Marius Rolland

The probability that a configuration of a physical system reacts, or transitions from one metastable state to another, is quantified by the committor function. This function contains richly detailed mechanistic information about transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-13 Andrew R. Mitchell , Grant M. Rotskoff

We study the convergence of distributions on finite paths of weighted digraphs, namely the family of Boltzmann distributions and the sequence of uniform distributions. Targeting applications to the convergence of distributions on paths, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Samy Abbes

This paper introduces a new discrete distribution suggested by curtailed sampling rules common in early-stage clinical trials. We derive the distribution of the smallest number of independent Bernoulli(p) trials needed in order to observe…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-16 Michelle DeVeaux , Michael J. Kane , Daniel Zelterman

We investigate properties of tempered distributions with discrete or countable supports such that their Fourier transforms are distributions with discrete or countable supports as well. We find sufficient conditions for support of the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Serhii Favorov

We analyze here in details the probability to find a given number of particles in a finite volume inside a normal or superfluid finite system. This probability, also known as counting statistics, is obtained using projection operator…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-01-22 Denis Lacroix , Sakir Ayik

In this paper, we propose a framework to investigate the collective dynamics in ensembles of globally coupled phase oscillators when higher-order modes dominate the coupling. The spatiotemporal properties of the attractors in various…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-04-19 Can Xu , Hairong Xiang , Jian Gao , Zhigang Zheng

Understanding mechanisms of rare but important events in complex molecular systems, such as protein folding or ligand (un)binding, requires accurately mapping transition paths from an initial to a final state. The committor is the ideal…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-04-28 Rik S. Breebaart , Gianmarco Lazzeri , Roberto Covino , Peter G. Bolhuis

Recent investigations of turbulent circulation fluctuations have uncovered substantial insights into the statistical organization of flow structures and revealed unexpected geometric features of turbulent intermittency. Of particular…

Synchronization of an ensemble of oscillators is an emergent phenomenon present in several complex systems, ranging from social and physical to biological and technological systems. The most successful approach to describe how coherent…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-01-19 Francisco A. Rodrigues , Thomas K. DM. Peron , Peng Ji , Jürgen Kurths

Although the specification of bivariate probability models using a collection of assumed conditional distributions is not a novel concept, it has received considerable attention in the last decade. In this study, a bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Indranil Ghosh , Mina Norouzirad , Filipe J. Marques

Understanding the movement behaviours of individuals and the way they react to the external world is a key component of any problem that involves the modelling of human dynamics at a physical level. In particular, it is crucial to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Gabriele Galatolo , Mirco Nanni

Observational studies are a key resource for causal inference but are often affected by systematic biases. Prior work has focused mainly on detecting these biases, via sensitivity analyses and comparisons with randomized controlled trials,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ilker Demirel , Zeshan Hussain , Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , David Sontag

A five-parameter distribution called the McDonald normal distribution is defined and studied. The new distribution contains, as special cases, several important distributions discussed in the literature, such as the normal, skew-normal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-03 G. M. Cordeiro , R. J. Cintra , L. C. Rêgo

High capacity end-to-end approaches for human motion (behavior) prediction have the ability to represent subtle nuances in human behavior, but struggle with robustness to out of distribution inputs and tail events. Planning-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Liting Sun , Xiaogang Jia , Anca D. Dragan

Research on synchronization of coupled oscillators has helped explain how uniform behavior emerges in populations of non-uniform systems. But explaining how uniform populations engage in sustainable non-uniform synchronization may prove to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-03-15 Adilson E. Motter

The problem of overdispersion in multivariate count data is a challenging issue. Nowadays, it covers a central role mainly due to the relevance of modern technologies data, such as Next Generation Sequencing and textual data from the web or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Noemi Corsini , Cinzia Viroli

Stochastic systems feature, in general, both coherent dynamics and incoherent transitions between different states. We propose a method to identify the coherent part in the full counting statistics for the transitions. The proposal is…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2018-07-10 Philipp Stegmann , Jürgen König , Stephan Weiss