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In this paper, we numerically address the inverse problem of identifying a time-dependent coefficient in the time-fractional diffusion equation. An a priori estimate is established to ensure uniqueness and stability of the solution. A fully…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Arshyn Altybay

This paper proposes a new estimation technique for fitting parametric Gibbs point process models to a spatial point pattern dataset. The technique is a counterpart, for spatial point processes, of the variational estimators for Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Adrian Baddeley , David Dereudre

We consider finite element approximations of ill-posed elliptic problems with conditional stability. The notion of {\emph{optimal error estimates}} is defined including both convergence with respect to mesh parameter and perturbations in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Erik Burman , Mihai Nechita , Lauri Oksanen

Predicting scalar outcomes using functional predictors is a classic problem in functional data analysis. In many applications, however, only specific locations or time-points of the functional predictors have an impact on the outcome. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Dominik Poß , Dominik Liebl , Alois Kneip , Hedwig Eisenbarth , Tor D. Wager , Lisa Feldman Barrett

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

This paper studies the problem of fault detection and estimation (FDE) for linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with a particular focus on frequency content information of faults, possibly as multiple disjoint continuum ranges, and under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-02 Jingwei Dong , Kaikai Pan , Sergio Pequito , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We provide general formulation of weak identification in semiparametric models and an efficiency concept. Weak identification occurs when a parameter is weakly regular, i.e., when it is locally homogeneous of degree zero. When this happens,…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-24 Tetsuya Kaji

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

We study inference on scalar-valued pathwise differentiable targets after adaptive data collection, such as a bandit algorithm. We introduce a novel target-specific condition, directional stability, which is strictly weaker than previously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Zikai Shen , Houssam Zenati , Nathan Kallus , Arthur Gretton , Koulik Khamaru , Aurélien Bibaut

In some estimation problems, especially in applications dealing with information theory, signal processing and biology, theory provides us with additional information allowing us to restrict the parameter space to a finite number of points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-25 Christine Choirat , Raffaello Seri

Social science researchers are generally accustomed to treating ordinal variables as though they are continuous. In this paper, we consider how identification constraints in ordinal factor analysis can mimic the treatment of ordinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-09 Edgar C. Merkle , Sonja D. Winter , Ellen Fitzsimmons

Assuming that $(X_t)_{t\in\Z}$ is a vector valued time series with a common marginal distribution admitting a density $f$, our aim is to provide a wide range of consistent estimators of $f$. We consider different methods of estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Ragache , Olivier Wintenberger

A new partial functional linear regression model for panel data with time varying parameters is introduced. The parameter vector of the multivariate model component is allowed to be completely time varying while the function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-18 Dominik Liebl , Fabian Walders

Conformal prediction has been explored as a general and efficient way to provide uncertainty quantification for time series. However, current methods struggle to handle time series data with change points - sudden shifts in the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Sophia Sun , Rose Yu

We propose a method for constructing sparse high-frequency volatility estimators that are robust against change points in the spot volatility process. The estimators we propose are $\ell_1$-regularized versions of existing volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-02 Greeshma Balabhadra , El Mehdi Ainasse , Pawel Polak

Dynamical systems with binary-valued observations are widely used in information industry, technology of biological pharmacy and other fields. Though there have been much efforts devoted to the identification of such systems, most of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-09 Lantian Zhang , Yanlong Zhao , Lei Guo

Multivariable parametric models are critical for designing, controlling, and optimizing the performance of engineered systems. The main aim of this paper is to develop a parametric identification strategy that delivers accurate and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Maarten van der Hulst , Rodrigo González , Koen Classens , Nic Dirkx , Jeroen van de Wijdeven , Tom Oomen

This paper introduces Target Strangeness, a novel difficulty estimator for conformal prediction (CP) that offers an alternative approach for normalizing prediction intervals (PIs). By assessing how atypical a prediction is within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Alexis Bose , Jonathan Ethier , Paul Guinand

We consider a class of systems with time-varying parameters, which are written as linear regressions with bounded disturbances. The task is to estimate such parameters under the condition that the regressor is finitely exciting (FE).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-24 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

Finite mixture models have long been used across a variety of fields in engineering and sciences. Recently there has been a great deal of interest in quantifying the convergence behavior of the \emph{mixing measure}, a fundamental object…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Yun Wei , Sayan Mukherjee , XuanLong Nguyen
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