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In this paper, we give a general time-varying parameter model, where the multidimensional parameter possibly includes jumps. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated value over time of the parameter process $\Theta = T^{-1}…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-22 Yoann Potiron , Per Mykland

We propose a new discrete-time online parameter estimation algorithm that combines two different aspects, one that adds momentum, and another that includes a time-varying learning rate. It is well known that recursive least squares based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Yingnan Cui , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

A problem of identification of piecewise-constant unknown parameters of a linear regression equation (LRE) is considered. Such parameters change their values over the interval of the regressor finite (rather than persistent) excitation. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-07 Anton Glushchenko , Vladislav Petrov , Konstantin Lastochkin

The sensitivity parameter is widely used for quantifying fine tuning. However, examples show it fails to give correct results under certain circumstances. We argue that the problems of the sensitivity parameter are almost identical to the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-02-05 Su Yan

Conformal predictors are machine learning algorithms that output prediction sets that have a guarantee of marginal validity for finite samples with minimal distributional assumptions. This is a property that makes conformal predictors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Anthony Bellotti

We present an interval-based approach for parameter identification in structural static inverse problems. The proposed inverse formulation exploits the Interval Finite Element Method (IFEM) combined with adjoint-based optimization. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Naijia Xiao , Francesco Fedele , Rafi Muhanna

Time-encoding of continuous-time signals is an alternative sampling paradigm to conventional methods such as Shannon's sampling. In time-encoding, the signal is encoded using a sequence of time instants where an event occurs, and hence fall…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-06 Abijith Jagannath Kamath , Sunil Rudresh , Chandra Sekhar Seelamantula

A finite-horizon variant of the quickest change detection (QCD) problem that is of relevance to learning in non-stationary environments is studied. The metric characterizing false alarms is the probability of a false alarm occurring before…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yu-Han Huang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

This paper considers fixed effects (FE) estimation for linear panel data models under possible model misspecification when both the number of individuals, $n$, and the number of time periods, $T$, are large. We first clarify the probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Antonio F. Galvao , Kengo Kato

This paper deals with the problem of finite-time learning for unknown discrete-time nonlinear systems' dynamics, without the requirement of the persistence of excitation. Two finite-time concurrent learning methods are presented to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Farzaneh Tatari , Christos Panayiotou , Marios Polycarpou

We study the problem of collaboratively estimating the state of a discrete-time LTI process by a network of sensor nodes interacting over a time-varying directed communication graph. Existing approaches to this problem either (i) make…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Aritra Mitra , John A. Richards , Saurabh Bagchi , Shreyas Sundaram

We provide a comprehensive set of new results on the impact of mis-specifying the short run dynamics in fractionally integrated processes. We show that four alternative parametric estimators - frequency domain maximum likelihood, Whittle,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Gael M. Martin , Kanchana Nadarajah , D. S. Poskitt

In this paper, a concurrent learning based adaptive observer is developed for a class of second-order linear time-invariant systems with uncertain system matrices. The developed technique yields an exponentially convergent state estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Motivated by global warming issues, we consider a time se- ries that consists of a nondecreasing trend observed with station- ary fluctuations, nonparametric estimation of the trend under monotonicity assumption is considered. The rescaled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ou Zhao , Michael Woodroofe

We consider estimation and inference in a linear model with endogenous regressors where the parameters of interest change across two samples. If the first-stage is common, we show how to use this information to obtain more efficient…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-26 Bertille Antoine , Otilia Boldea , Niccolo Zaccaria

This paper presents a novel adaptive control methodology for uncertain systems with time-varying unknown parameters and time-varying bounded disturbance. The adaptive controller ensures uniformly bounded transient and asymptotic tracking…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Chengyu Cao , Naira Hovakimyan

Parameters of sub-populations can be more relevant than super-population ones. For example, a healthcare provider may be interested in the effect of a treatment plan for a specific subset of their patients; policymakers may be concerned…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

The present paper proposes a new treatment effects estimator that is valid when the number of time periods is small, and the parallel trends condition holds conditional on covariates and unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-16 Nicholas Brown , Kyle Butts , Joakim Westerlund

Parametric timed automata are a powerful formalism for reasoning on concurrent real-time systems with unknown or uncertain timing constants. In order to test the efficiency of new algorithms, a fair set of benchmarks is required. We present…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Étienne André , Dylan Marinho , Jaco van de Pol