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A finite mixture model is used to learn trends from the currently available data on coronavirus (COVID-19). Data on the number of confirmed COVID-19 related cases and deaths for European countries and the United States (US) are explored. A…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-16 Semhar Michael , Xuwen Zhu , Volodymyr Melnykov

As the COVID-19 outbreak evolves, accurate forecasting continues to play an extremely important role in informing policy decisions. In this paper, we present our continuous curation of a large data repository containing COVID-19 information…

Since December 2019, the world has been witnessing the gigantic effect of an unprecedented global pandemic called Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) - COVID-19. So far, 38,619,674 confirmed cases and 1,093,522…

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has changed our lives and still poses a challenge to science. Numerous studies have contributed to a better understanding of the pandemic. In particular, inhalation of aerosolised pathogens has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-02 Simon Rahn , Marion Gödel , Gerta Köster , Gesine Hofinger

Intent of this research is to explore how mathematical models, specifically Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, can be utilized to forecast peak outbreak timeline of COVID-19 epidemic amongst a population of interest starting from the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-14 Amit Tewari

Susceptible-Invective-Recovered (SIR) mathematical models are in high demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They are used in their standard formulation, or through the many variants, trying to fit and hopefully predict the number of new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves

The COVID-19 pandemic has had adverse effects on both physical and mental health. During this pandemic, numerous studies have focused on gaining insights into health-related perspectives from social media. In this study, our primary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Mahathir Mohammad Bishal , Md. Rakibul Hassan Chowdory , Anik Das , Muhammad Ashad Kabir

COVID-19 presence classification and severity prediction via (3D) thorax computed tomography scans have become important tasks in recent times. Especially for capacity planning of intensive care units, predicting the future severity of a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-16 Dominik Müller , Niklas Schröter , Silvan Mertes , Fabio Hellmann , Miriam Elia , Wolfgang Reif , Bernhard Bauer , Elisabeth André , Frank Kramer

Public health officials dealing with pandemics like COVID-19 have to evaluate and prepare response plans. This planning phase requires not only looking into the spatiotemporal dynamics and impact of the pandemic using simulation models, but…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Shehzad Afzal , Sohaib Ghani , Hank C. Jenkins-Smith , David S. Ebert , Markus Hadwiger , Ibrahim Hoteit

In the political decision process and control of COVID-19 (and other epidemic diseases), mathematical models play an important role. It is crucial to understand and quantify the uncertainty in models and their predictions in order to take…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Bjørn Jensen , Allan P. Engsig-Karup , Kim Knudsen

We are currently facing a highly critical case of a world-wide pandemic. The novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2, a.k.a. COVID-19) has proved to be extremely contagious and the original outbreak from Asia has now spread to all continents. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-26 Priyanka , Vicky Verma

The risk for severe illness and mortality from COVID-19 significantly increases with age. As a result, age-stratified modeling for COVID-19 dynamics is the key to study how to reduce hospitalizations and mortality from COVID-19. By taking…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Xianhao Chen , Guangyu Zhu , Lan Zhang , Yuguang Fang , Linke Guo , Xinguang Chen

To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policy-making, we formulated two types of mathematical models for COVID-19 transmission within a regional population. One is a fitting function that can be calibrated to reproduce…

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

While several non-pharmacological measures have been implemented for a few months in an effort to slow the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in the United States, the disease remains a danger in a number of counties as restrictions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-06 Chao Fan , Xiangqi Jiang , Ronald Lee , Ali Mostafavi

Justifying draconian measures during the Covid-19 pandemic was difficult not only because of the restriction of individual rights, but also because of its economic impact. The objective of this work is to present a machine learning approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Santiago Cortes , Yullys M. Quintero

At the end of 2019, the latest novel coronavirus Sars-CoV-2 emerged as a significant acute respiratory disease that has become a global pandemic. Countries like Brazil have had difficulty in dealing with the virus due to the high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Sara Malvar , Julio Romano Meneghini

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the behavioral response to reported case numbers changed drastically over time. While a few dozen cases were enough to trigger government-induced and voluntary contact reduction in early 2020, less than a year…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-27 Bastian Heinlein , Manlio De Domenico

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

In this study, we propose a time-dependent Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) model for the analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic outbreak in three different countries, the United States of America, Italy and Iceland using public…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-08 P. Girardi , C. Gaetan