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The dynamics of a rain forest is extremely complex involving births, deaths and growth of trees with complex interactions between trees, animals, climate, and environment. We consider the patterns of recruits (new trees) and dead trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Abdollah Jalilian , Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

Spatially constrained clustering is an important field of research, particularly when it involves changes over time. Partitioning a map is not simple since there is a vast number of possible partitions within the search space. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Jessica Pavani , Rosangela Helena Loschi , Fernando Andres Quintana

Spatial regression or geographically weighted regression models have been widely adopted to capture the effects of auxiliary information on a response variable of interest over a region. In contrast, relationships between response and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

In many data scientific problems, we are interested in inferring causal relationships in the data generating mechanism. Here, we consider the following real-world question: how has the Colombian conflict influenced tropical forest loss?…

Data fusion models are widely used in air quality monitoring to integrate in situ and large-scale gridded products, offering spatially complete and temporally detailed estimates. However, traditional Gaussian-based models often…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 M. Daniela Cuba , Craig Wilkie , Marian Scott , Daniela Castro-Camilo

This work introduces a novel approach for generating conditional probabilistic rainfall forecasts with temporal and spatial dependence. A two-step procedure is employed. Firstly, marginal location-specific distributions are jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 David Huk , Rilwan A. Adewoyin , Ritabrata Dutta

A Poisson autoregressive (PAR) model accounting for discreteness and autocorrelation of count time series data is typically estimated in the state-space modelling framework through extended Kalman filter. However, because of the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Paolo Victor T. Redondo , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

This work presents the spatial error model with heteroskedasticity, which allows the joint modeling of the parameters associated with both the mean and the variance, within a traditional approach to spatial econometrics. The estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 J. D. Toloza , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

The combination of several socio-economic data bases originating from different administrative sources collected on several different partitions of a geographic zone of interest into administrative units induces the so called areal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-30 Van Huyen Do , Christine Thomas-Agnan , Anne Vanhems

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Regression for spatially dependent outcomes poses many challenges, for inference and for computation. Non-spatial models and traditional spatial mixed-effects models each have their advantages and disadvantages, making it difficult for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 John Hughes

This paper develops forecasting methodology and application of new classes of dynamic models for time series of non-negative counts. Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic generalized linear models for binary and conditionally Poisson…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Lindsay Berry , Mike West

We consider modeling and prediction of Capelin distribution in the Barents sea based on zero-inflated count observation data that vary continuously over a specified survey region. The model is a mixture of two components; a one-point…

This paper proposes an analysis methodology for the case where there is longitudinal data with destructive sampling of observational units, which come from experimental units that are measured at all times of the analysis. A mixed linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 C. A. Avellaneda , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

Small area estimation models are essential for estimating population characteristics in regions with limited sample sizes, thereby supporting policy decisions, demographic studies, and resource allocation, among other use cases. The spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 Zhenhua Wang , Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Spatial generalized linear mixed-effects models are popularly used to analyze spatially indexed univariate responses. However, with modern technology, it is common to observe vector-valued mixed-type responses, e.g., a combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Arghya Mukherjee , Arnab Hazra , Dootika Vats

Joinpoint regression is used to determine the number of segments needed to adequately explain the relationship between two variables. This methodology can be widely applied to real problems, but we focus on epidemiological data, the main…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-08 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Gonzalo García-Donato , Diego Salmerón

The Cox proportional hazard model is one of the most popular tools in analyzing time-to-event data in public health studies. When outcomes observed in clinical data from different regions yield a varying pattern correlated with location, it…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-20 Yishu Xue , Elizabeth D. Schifano , Guanyu Hu

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich