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Related papers: Ordinal Patterns in the Duffing Oscillator: Analyz…

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We investigate the dynamical behavior of a non-ideal Duffing oscillator, a system composed of a mass-spring-pendulum driven by a DC motor with limited power supply. To identify new features on Duffing oscillator parameter space due to the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-07-27 S. L. T. de Souza , A. M. Batista , M. S. Baptista , I. L. Caldas , J. M. Balthazar

The existence of forbidden patterns, i.e., certain missing sequences in a given time series, is a recently proposed instrument of potential application in the study of time series. Forbidden patterns are related to the permutation entropy,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Massimiliano Zanin

Although various polytomous item response models are considered to be ordinal models there seems no general definition of an ordinal model available. Alternative concepts of ordinal models are discussed and it is shown that they coincide…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Gerhard Tutz

Computers are deterministic dynamical systems (CHAOS 19:033124, 2009). Among other things, that implies that one should be able to use deterministic forecast rules to predict their behavior. That statement is sometimes-but not always-true.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-05-24 Joshua Garland , Ryan James , Elizabeth Bradley

This paper explores the effectiveness of using ordinal pattern probabilities to evaluate antipersistency in the sign decomposition of long-range anti-correlated Gaussian fluctuations. It is numerically shown that ordinal patterns are able…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-03-18 Felipe Olivares

Shannon Entropy is the preeminent tool for measuring the level of uncertainty (and conversely, information content) in a random variable. In the field of communications, entropy can be used to express the information content of given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Bill Kay , Audun Myers , Thad Boydston , Emily Ellwein , Cameron Mackenzie , Iliana Alvarez , Erik Lentz

The use of ordinal patterns (OPs) for analyzing the dependence structure of univariate and continuously distributed processes has gained popularity in recent years. This research goes one step further and considers the transcripts being…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Christian H. Weiß , José M. Amigó

We introduce two types of ordinal pattern dependence between time series. Positive (resp. negative) ordinal pattern dependence can be seen as a non-paramatric and in particular non-linear counterpart to positive (resp. negative)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-26 Alexander Schnurr

Neutrino oscillations encode fundamental information about neutrino masses and mixing parameters, offering a unique window into physics beyond the Standard Model. Estimating these parameters from oscillation probability maps is, however,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-03-25 Giorgio Morales , Gregory Lehaut , Antonin Vacheret , Frederic Jurie , Jalal Fadili

Order patterns and permutation entropy have become useful tools for studying biomedical, geophysical or climate time series. Here we study day-to-day market data, and Brownian motion which is a good model for their order patterns. A crucial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-02 Christoph Bandt

Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) are a family of probabilistic models that have a repulsive behavior, and lend themselves naturally to many tasks in machine learning where returning a diverse set of objects is important. While there are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-03 John Urschel , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet

In this paper, we investigate temporal clusters of extremes defined as subsequent exceedances of high thresholds in a stationary time series. Two meaningful features of these clusters are the probability distribution of the cluster size and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Marco Oesting , Alexander Schnurr

We study relationships between permutation statistics and pattern-functions, counting the number of times particular patterns occur in a permutation. This allows us to write several familiar statistics as linear combinations of pattern…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Yosef Berman , Bridget Eileen Tenner

Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

In problems where the temporal evolution of a nonlinear system cannot be followed, a method for studying the fluctuations of spatial patterns has been developed. That method is applied to well-known problems in deterministic chaos (the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Zhen Cao , Rudolph C. Hwa

Uncertainty is the only certainty there is. Modeling data uncertainty is essential for regression, especially in unconstrained settings. Traditionally the direct regression formulation is considered and the uncertainty is modeled by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Wanhua Li , Xiaoke Huang , Jiwen Lu , Jianjiang Feng , Jie Zhou

We report the first experimental realization of pattern formation in a spatially extended nonlinear system when the system is alternated between two states, neither of which exhibits patterning. Dynamical equations modeling the system are…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2009-11-11 J. P. Sharpe , P. L. Ramazza , N. Sungar , Karl Saunders

We describe an approach to improving model fitting and model generalization that considers the entropy of distributions of modelling residuals. We use simple simulations to demonstrate the observational signatures of overfitting on ordered…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-05 Barnaby Rowe

We propose to use the ordinal pattern transition (OPT) entropy measured at sentinel central nodes as a potential predictor of explosive transitions to synchronization in networks of various dynamical systems with increasing complexity. Our…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-10 I. Leyva , Juan A. Almendral , Christophe Letellier , I. Sendiña-Nadal