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We characterize the full classes of M-estimators for semiparametric models of general functionals by formally connecting the theory of consistent loss functions from forecast evaluation with the theory of M-estimation. This novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Timo Dimitriadis , Tobias Fissler , Johanna Ziegel

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

This paper develops asymptotic theory of integrals of empirical quantile functions with respect to random weight functions, which is an extension of classical $L$-statistics. They appear when sample trimming or Winsorization is applied to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Tetsuya Kaji

We assume that the forecast error follows a probability distribution which is symmetric and monotonically non-increasing on non-negative real numbers, and if there is a mismatch between observed and predicted value, then we suffer a loss.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Naoya Yamaguchi , Yuka Yamaguchi , Maiya Hori

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

When a parameter of interest is defined to be a nondifferentiable transform of a regular parameter, the parameter does not have an influence function, rendering the existing theory of semiparametric efficient estimation inapplicable.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Kyungchul Song

New asymptotic approximations of the non-central $t$ distribution are given, a generalization of the Student's $t$ distribution. Using new integral representations, we give new asymptotic expansions for large values of the noncentrality…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M Temme

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

Ever since the proof of asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimator by Cramer (1946), it has been understood that a basic technique of the Taylor series expansion suffices for asymptotics of $M$-estimators with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Since its early use in least squares regression problems, the l1-penalization framework for variable selection has been employed in conjunction with a wide range of loss functions encompassing regression, classification and survival…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Guilherme V. Rocha , Xing Wang , Bin Yu

The task of the binary classification problem is to determine which of two distributions has generated a length-$n$ test sequence. The two distributions are unknown; two training sequences of length $N$, one from each distribution, are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is excluded by existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-15 Harold D Chiang , Bruce E Hansen , Yuya Sasaki

When testing for the mean vector in a high dimensional setting, it is generally assumed that the observations are independently and identically distributed. However if the data are dependent, the existing test procedures fail to preserve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Deepak Nag Ayyala , Junyong Park , Anindya Roy

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

Randomized experiments have become important tools in empirical research. In a completely randomized treatment-control experiment, the simple difference in means of the outcome is unbiased for the average treatment effect, and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Lihua Lei , Peng Ding

This paper proposes a class of origin-smooth approximators of indicators underlying the sum-of-negative-part statistic for testing multiple inequalities. The need for simulation or bootstrap to obtain test critical values is thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-27 Le-Yu Chen , Jerzy Szroeter

We study the asymptotic properties of geodesically convex $M$-estimation on non-linear spaces. Namely, we prove that under very minimal assumptions besides geodesic convexity of the cost function, one can obtain consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

A parameter estimation problem is considered, in which dispersed sensors transmit to the statistician partial information regarding their observations. The sensors observe the paths of continuous semimartingales, whose drifts are linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-01 Georgios Fellouris

We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong