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In many problems, a sensible estimator of a possibly multivariate monotone function may itself fail to be monotone. We study the correction of such an estimator obtained via projection onto the space of functions monotone over a finite grid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Ted Westling , Mark van der Laan , Marco Carone

There are several ways to measure the compressibility of a random measure; they include general approaches such as using the rate-distortion curve, as well as more specific notions, such as the Renyi information dimension (RID). The RID…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Mohammad-Amin Charusaie , Arash Amini , Stefano Rini

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

We use interval reachability analysis to obtain robustness guarantees for implicit neural networks (INNs). INNs are a class of implicit learning models that use implicit equations as layers and have been shown to exhibit several notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Alexander Davydov , Saber Jafarpour , Matthew Abate , Francesco Bullo , Samuel Coogan

Regression discontinuity designs assess causal effects in settings where treatment is determined by whether an observed running variable crosses a pre-specified threshold. Here we propose a new approach to identification, estimation, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Dean Eckles , Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Stefan Wager , Han Wu

Conventionally, regression discontinuity analysis contrasts a univariate regression's limits as its independent variable, $R$, approaches a cut-point, $c$, from either side. Alternative methods target the average treatment effect in a small…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-21 Adam C. Sales , Ben B. Hansen

Nonparametric regression and regression-discontinuity designs suffer from smoothing bias that distorts conventional confidence intervals. Solutions based on robust bias correction (RBC) are now central to the economist's toolbox. In this…

In this Element and its accompanying Element, Matias D. Cattaneo, Nicolas Idrobo, and Rocio Titiunik provide an accessible and practical guide for the analysis and interpretation of Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs that encourages the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-22 Matias D. Cattaneo , Nicolas Idrobo , Rocio Titiunik

Regression discontinuity design (RDD) is widely adopted for causal inference under intervention determined by a continuous variable. While one is interested in treatment effect heterogeneity by subgroups in many applications, RDD typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Takuya Ishihara , Daisuke Kurisu

This paper studies regression discontinuity designs (RDD) when linear-in-means spillovers occur between units that are close in their running variable. We show that the RDD estimand depends on the ratio of two terms: (1) the radius over…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Eric Auerbach , Yong Cai , Ahnaf Rafi

Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are popular quasi-experimental studies in which treatment assignment depends on whether the value of a running variable exceeds a cutoff. RD designs are increasingly popular in educational applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Daryl Swartzentruber , Eloise Kaizar

We consider the problem of isotonic regression, where the underlying signal $x$ is assumed to satisfy a monotonicity constraint, that is, $x$ lies in the cone $\{ x\in\mathbb{R}^n : x_1 \leq \dots \leq x_n\}$. We study the isotonic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-01 Fan Yang , Rina Foygel Barber

Beside the minimization of the prediction error, two of the most desirable properties of a regression scheme are stability and interpretability. Driven by these principles, we propose continuous-domain formulations for one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Shayan Aziznejad , Thomas Debarre , Michael Unser

In the regression discontinuity design (RDD), it is common practice to assess the credibility of the design by testing the continuity of the density of the running variable at the cut-off, e.g., McCrary (2008). In this paper we propose an…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-13 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay

Randomized smoothing has become a leading approach for certifying adversarial robustness in machine learning models. However, a persistent gap remains between theoretical certified robustness and empirical robustness accuracy. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Blaise Delattre , Paul Caillon , Quentin Barthélemy , Erwan Fagnou , Alexandre Allauzen

We study regression discontinuity designs in which many predetermined covariates, possibly much more than the number of observations, can be used to increase the precision of treatment effect estimates. We consider a two-step estimator…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-06 Alexander Kreiß , Christoph Rothe

Standard regression discontinuity design (RDD) models rely on the continuity of expected potential outcomes at the cutoff. The standard continuity assumption can be violated by strategic manipulation of the running variable, which is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-18 Rahul Singh , Moses Stewart

This paper provides a formal econometric framework behind the newly developed difference-in-discontinuities design (DiDC). Despite its increasing use in applied research, there are currently limited studies of its properties. We formalize…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-28 Pedro Picchetti , Cristine C. X. Pinto , Stephanie T. Shinoki

We consider gradient descent with constant stepsizes and derive exact worst-case convergence rates on the minimum gradient norm of the iterates. Our analysis covers all possible stepsizes and arbitrary upper/lower bounds on the curvature of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Teodor Rotaru , François Glineur , Panagiotis Patrinos

This manuscript bridges nonparametric smoothness-based and shape-restricted estimation, which may appear as two disjoint paradigms in the field. The proposed approach is motivated by a conceptually simple observation: every Lipschitz…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Tianyu Zhang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla