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Unsupervised/self-supervised representation learning in time series is critical since labeled samples are usually scarce in real-world scenarios. Existing approaches mainly leverage the contrastive learning framework, which automatically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Wenrui Zhang , Ling Yang , Shijia Geng , Shenda Hong

Time series forecasting is critical across various domains, such as weather, finance and real estate forecasting, as accurate forecasts support informed decision-making and risk mitigation. While recent deep learning models have improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jianfei Wu , Wenmian Yang , Bingning Liu , Weijia Jia

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is a critical task, but developing models that generalize to unseen data in a zero-shot manner remains a major challenge. Prevailing foundation models for TSAD predominantly rely on reconstruction-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Tian Lan , Hao Duong Le , Jinbo Li , Wenjun He , Meng Wang , Chenghao Liu , Chen Zhang

Multivariate time series anomaly detection is essential for failure management in web application operations, as it directly influences the effectiveness and timeliness of implementing remedial or preventive measures. This task is often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Yongzheng Xie , Hongyu Zhang , Muhammad Ali Babar

We present a simple reduction from sequential estimation to sequential changepoint detection (SCD). In short, suppose we are interested in detecting changepoints in some parameter or functional $\theta$ of the underlying distribution. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper proposes LPC-AD, a fast and accurate multivariate time series (MTS) anomaly detection method. LPC-AD is motivated by the ever-increasing needs for fast and accurate MTS anomaly detection methods to support fast troubleshooting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Zhi Qi , Hong Xie , Ye Li , Jian Tan , FeiFei Li , John C. S. Lui

Nonlinear dynamical systems exposed to changing forcing can exhibit catastrophic transitions between alternative and often markedly different states. The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) can be used to anticipate such transitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Yu Huang , Sebastian Bathiany , Peter Ashwin , Niklas Boers

In conventional remote sensing change detection (RS CD) procedures, extensive manual labeling for bi-temporal images is first required to maintain the performance of subsequent fully supervised training. However, pixel-level labeling for CD…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Yitao Zhao , Turgay Celik , Nanqing Liu , Feng Gao , Heng-Chao Li

Recently, various contrastive learning techniques have been developed to categorize time series data and exhibit promising performance. A general paradigm is to utilize appropriate augmentations and construct feasible positive samples such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Qianying Ren , Dongsheng Luo , Dongjin Song

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette

This paper describes a novel approach to change-point detection when the observed high-dimensional data may have missing elements. The performance of classical methods for change-point detection typically scales poorly with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-11 Yao Xie , Jiaji Huang , Rebecca Willett

The objective of the change-point detection is to discover the abrupt property changes lying behind the time-series data. In this paper, we firstly summarize the definition and in-depth implication of the changepoint detection. The next…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-21 Yixiao Li , Gloria Lin , Thomas Lau , Ruochen Zeng

We argue that time series analysis is fundamentally different in nature to either vision or natural language processing with respect to the forms of meaningful self-supervised learning tasks that can be defined. Motivated by this insight,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Navid Mohammadi Foumani , Chang Wei Tan , Geoffrey I. Webb , Hamid Rezatofighi , Mahsa Salehi

Effective condition monitoring in complex systems requires identifying change points (CPs) in the frequency domain, as the structural changes often arise across multiple frequencies. This paper extends recent advancements in statistically…

Multivariate time series can often have a large number of dimensions, whether it is due to the vast amount of collected features or due to how the data sources are processed. Frequently, the main structure of the high-dimensional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Euan Thomas McGonigle , Hankui Peng

The ongoing challenges in time series anomaly detection (TSAD), notably the scarcity of anomaly labels and the variability in anomaly lengths and shapes, have led to the need for a more efficient solution. As limited anomaly labels hinder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Yuting Sun , Guansong Pang , Guanhua Ye , Tong Chen , Xia Hu , Hongzhi Yin

Given a dataset on actions and resulting long-term rewards, a direct estimation approach fits value functions that minimize prediction error on the training data. Temporal difference learning (TD) methods instead fit value functions by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 David Cheikhi , Daniel Russo

Long-term forecasting presents unique challenges due to the time and memory complexity of handling long sequences. Existing methods, which rely on sliding windows to process long sequences, struggle to effectively capture long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Junwoo Park , Daehoon Gwak , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

This paper investigates sequential change-point detection in reconfigurable sensor networks. In this problem, data from multiple sensors are observed sequentially. Each sensor can have a unique change point, and the data distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-10 Seungwon Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li