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Gathering the most information by picking the least amount of data is a common task in experimental design or when exploring an unknown environment in reinforcement learning and robotics. A widely used measure for quantifying the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-17 Johannes Kulick , Robert Lieck , Marc Toussaint

The aim of this work is to provide a unified framework for ordinal representations of uncertainty lying at the crosswords between possibility and probability theories. Such confidence relations between events are commonly found in monotonic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-08-07 Didier Dubois , Helene Fargier

Biomedical question answering often requires decisions from retrieved literature whose relevance, quality, and support for candidate answers are uneven. Most retrieval-augmented large language model (LLM) methods feed this literature to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Chang Zong , Hao Ning , Siliang Tang , Jie Huang , Jian Wan

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

The compatibility of quantitative and qualitative representations of beliefs was studied extensively in probability theory. It is only recently that this important topic is considered in the context of belief functions. In this paper, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Michael S. K. M. Wong , Y. Y. Yao , P. Lingras

We introduce a logical framework for reasoning about "uncertain interpretations" and investigate two key applications: a new semantics for implication capturing a kind of "meaning entailment", and a conservative notion of "evidentially…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Adam Bjorndahl

Reconstructing the topology of complex networks from observational data remains a central challenge in network science. Here we propose a framework that is based on the Dempster-Shafer evidence theory to infer network structures directly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-04 Yishu Xian , Zhaobo Zhang , Cai Zhang , Meizhu Li , Qi Zhang

In some real world information fusion situations, time critical decisions must be made with an incomplete information set. Belief function theories (e.g., Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence, Transferable Belief Model) have been shown to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-01 John J. Sudano

We first discuss certain problems with the classical probabilistic approach for assessing forensic evidence, in particular its inability to distinguish between lack of belief and disbelief, and its inability to model complete ignorance…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-02 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

Entropy notions for $\varepsilon$-incremental practical stability and incremental stability of deterministic nonlinear systems under disturbances are introduced. The entropy notions are constructed via a set of points in state space which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Michelle S. Chong

We propose a method for estimating disparity confidence intervals in stereo matching problems. Confidence intervals provide complementary information to usual confidence measures. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first method…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Roman Malinowski , Emmanuelle Sarrazin , Loïc Dumas , Emmanuel Dubois , Sébastien Destercke

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Decision making is still an open issue in the application of Dempster-Shafer evidence theory. A lot of works have been presented for it. In the transferable belief model (TBM), pignistic probabilities based on the basic probability as-…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-09 Meizhu Li , Qi Zhang , Yong Deng

In Dempster-Shafer belief theory, general beliefs are expressed as belief mass distribution functions over frames of discernment. In Subjective Logic beliefs are expressed as belief mass distribution functions over binary frames of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Audun Josang

Existing training criteria in automatic speech recognition(ASR) permit the model to freely explore more than one time alignments between the feature and label sequences. In this paper, we use entropy to measure a model's uncertainty, i.e.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Ehsan Variani , Ke Wu , David Rybach , Cyril Allauzen , Michael Riley

This paper is devoted to expressiveness of hypergraphs for which uncertainty propagation by local computations via Shenoy/Shafer method applies. It is demonstrated that for this propagation method for a given joint belief distribution no…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-13 Mieczysław A. Kłopotek

Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence (D-S theory) is widely used in uncertain information process. The basic probability assignment(BPA) is a key element in D-S theory. How to measure the distance between two BPAs is an open issue. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Hongming Mo , Xiaoyan Su , Yong Hu , Yong Deng

The problem of comparing concepts of dependence in general rough sets with those in probability theory had been initiated by the present author in some of her recent papers. This problem relates to the identification of the limitations of…

Logic · Mathematics 2018-04-09 A Mani

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

We develop a classification method for incoming pieces of evidence in Dempster-Shafer theory. This methodology is based on previous work with clustering and specification of originally nonspecific evidence. This methodology is here put in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert