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Background: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding remains a major challenge, causing delays in care and increased operational strain. Hospital management often reacts to congestion after it occurs. Machine learning predictive modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Orhun Vural , Bunyamin Ozaydin , Khalid Y. Aram , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Abdulaziz Ahmed

Over the past several years, across the globe, there has been an increase in people seeking care in emergency departments (EDs). ED resources, including nurse staffing, are strained by such increases in patient volume. Accurate forecasting…

Overcrowding in Emergency Departments (EDs) is particularly problematic during seasonal epidemic crises. Each year during this period, EDs set off recourse actions to cope with the increase in workload. Uncertainty in the length and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-08 Omar El-Rifai , Thierry Garaix , Xiaolan Xie

There were 25.6 million attendances at Emergency Departments (EDs) in England in 2019 corresponding to an increase of 12 million attendances over the past ten years. The steadily rising demand at EDs creates a constant challenge to provide…

Scheduling of personnel in a hospital environment is vital to improving the service provided to patients and balancing the workload assigned to clinicians. Many approaches have been tried and successfully applied to generate efficient…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-21 David Landsman , Huiting Ma , Jesse Knight , Kevin Gough , Sharmistha Mishra

Overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) remains a persistent operational challenge worldwide, causing delays in care delivery and downstream congestion. ED boarding time, defined as the duration admitted patients remain in the ED while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Orhun Vural , Abdulaziz Ahmed , Ferhat Zengul , James Booth , Bunyamin Ozaydin

Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding continues to be a public health issue as well as a patient safety issue. The underlying factors leading to ED crowding are numerous, varied, and complex. Although lack of in-hospital beds is frequently…

Optimization of patient throughput and wait time in emergency departments (ED) is an important task for hospital systems. For that reason, Emergency Severity Index (ESI) system for patient triage was introduced to help guide manual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-11 Djordje Gligorijevic , Jelena Stojanovic , Wayne Satz , Ivan Stojkovic , Kathrin Schreyer , Daniel Del Portal , Zoran Obradovic

Background: The stochastic behavior of patient arrival at an emergency department (ED) complicates the management of an ED. More than 50% of hospitals ED capacity tends to operate beyond its normal capacity and eventually fails to deliver…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Avishek Choudhury

Modeling the arrival process to an Emergency Department (ED) is the first step of all studies dealing with the patient flow within the ED. Many of them focus on the increasing phenomenon of ED overcrowding, which is afflicting hospitals all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-28 A. De Santis , T. Giovannelli , S. Lucidi , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

The surgical department and adequate access to health care are critical problems. The operating room plays a fundamental role in the performance of a hospital. The real problem faces several issues to collect data and optimize scheduling…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-25 Zahra Namazian , Emad Roghanian

The performance of Emergency Departments (EDs) is of great importance for any health care system, as they serve as the entry point for many patients. However, among other factors, the variability of patient acuity levels and corresponding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Nikolaus Furian , Michael O'Sullivan , Cameron Walker , Melanie Reuter-Oppermann

Accurate modeling of the patient flow within an Emergency Department (ED) is required by all studies dealing with the increasing and well-known problem of overcrowding. Since Discrete Event Simulation (DES) models are often adopted with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-02 A. De Santis , T. Giovannelli , S. Lucidi , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

Demand for healthcare is increasing rapidly. To meet demand, we must improve the efficiency of our public health services. We present a mixed integer programming (MIP) formulation that simultaneously tackles the integrated Master Surgical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Belinda Spratt , Erhan Kozan

Recently, the combination of machine learning (ML) and simulation is gaining a lot of attention. This paper presents a novel application of ML within the simulation to improve patient flow within an emergency department (ED). An ML model…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Emad Alenany , Abdessamad Ait El Cadi

In the emergency department (ED), patients undergo triage and multiple laboratory tests before diagnosis. This time-consuming process causes ED crowding which impacts patient mortality, medical errors, staff burnout, etc. This work proposes…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Liwen Sun , Abhineet Agarwal , Aaron Kornblith , Bin Yu , Chenyan Xiong

The traditional demand-responsive paratransit system plays an important role in connecting people to health care, particularly those who are carless, low-income, senior, underinsured/uninsured, or who have a disability. However, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Xiaojian Zhang , Yu Yang , Abigail L. Cochran , Noreen McDonald , Xilei Zhao

Operations Research approaches to surgical scheduling are becoming increasingly popular in both theory and practice. Often these models neglect stochasticity in order to reduce the computational complexity of the problem. We wish to provide…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Belinda Spratt , Erhan Kozan

Emergency departments (EDs) often use a shared-queue setup in which physicians self-assign cases from a pool of triaged patients. We conduct a multi-method study to examine this self-assignment behavior and its effects on system…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-26 Brett Hathaway , Evgeny Kagan , John Jones

Emergency department (ED) overcrowding and patient boarding represent critical systemic challenges that compromise care quality. We propose a threshold-based admission policy that redirects non-urgent patients to alternative care pathways,…

Performance · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Sahba Baniasadi , Paul M. Griffin , Prakash Chakraborty
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