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In this paper we investigate the behavior of the bridges of a Markov counting process in several directions. We first characterize convexity(concavity) in time of the mean value in terms of lower (upper) bounds on the so called…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Giovanni Conforti

A Markov-chain model is developed for the purpose estimation of the cure rate of non-performing loans. The technique is performed collectively, on portfolios and it can be applicable in the process of calculation of credit impairment. It is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-03 Vilislav Boutchaktchiev

We introduce a unified framework to estimate the convergence of Markov chains to equilibrium in Wasserstein distance. The framework can provide convergence bounds with rates ranging from polynomial to exponential, all derived from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yanlin Qu , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

This paper presents a novel theoretical Monte Carlo Markov chain procedure in the framework of graphs. It specifically deals with the construction of a Markov chain whose empirical distribution converges to a given reference one. The Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Roy Cerqueti , Emilio De Santis

This article introduces a model for freeway traffic dynamics under stochastic capacity-reducing incidents, and provides insights for freeway incident management by analyzing long-time (stability) properties of the proposed model. Incidents…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Li Jin , Saurabh Amin

In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

This paper aims to derive a quantitative model to evaluate the impact of information flow on the effectiveness of disaster response. At the core of the model is a specialized absorbing Markov chain that models the process of delivering…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Yitong Li , Wenying Ji

Markov regime switching models have been used in numerous empirical studies in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-01-31 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

We give a recursive construction of the stationary distribution of multi-type asymmetric simple exclusion processes on a finite ring or on the infinite line $Z$. The construction can be interpreted in terms of "multi-line diagrams" or…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 James B. Martin

Through the analysis of a dataset of ultra high frequency order book updates, we introduce a model which accommodates the empirical properties of the full order book together with the stylized facts of lower frequency financial data. To do…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-05 Weibing Huang , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We study the stochastic dynamics of a system of interacting species in a stochastic environment by means of a continuous-time Markov chain with transition rates depending on the state of the environment. Models of gene regulation in systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Daniele Cappelletti , Abhishek Pal Majumder , Carsten Wiuf

This paper considers a Markovian model of a limit order book where time-dependent rates are allowed. With the objective of understanding the mechanisms through which a microscopic model of an orderbook can converge to more general diffusion…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-03 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas

We investigate the problem of quantifying contraction coefficients of Markov transition kernels in Kantorovich ($L^1$ Wasserstein) distances. For diffusion processes, relatively precise quantitative bounds on contraction rates have recently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Andreas Eberle , Mateusz B. Majka

We consider a novel, analytical queuing model for vehicle coordination at signal-free intersections. Vehicles arrive at an intersection according to Poisson processes, and the crossing times are constants dependent of vehicle types. We use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Hanwen Dai , Li Jin

In this paper we survey some recent results on the central limit theorem and its weak invariance principle for stationary sequences. We also describe several maximal inequalities that are the main tool for obtaining the invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We present a broad literature survey of parameter and state estimation for queueing systems. Our approach is based on various inference activities, queueing models, observations schemes, and statistical methods. We categorize these into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-01 Azam Asanjarani , Yoni Nazarathy , Peter Taylor

A classical problem for Markov chains is determining their stationary (or steady-state) distribution. This problem has an equally classical solution based on eigenvectors and linear equation systems. However, this approach does not scale to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-20 Tobias Meggendorfer

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

We consider multi-class single-server queueing networks that have a product form stationary distribution. A new limit result proves a sequence of such networks converges weakly to a stochastic flow level model. The stochastic flow level…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 N. S. Walton

The growth of Machine-Type Communication (MTC) increases the relevance of queuing scenarios with deterministic service times. In this letter, we present a model for queues without waiting lines and with degenerate service time distributions…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-09-10 René Brandborg Sørensen , Jimmy Jessen Nielsen , Petar Popovski