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Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

Since survival data occur over time, often important covariates that we wish to consider also change over time. Such covariates are referred as time-dependent covariates. Quantile regression offers flexible modeling of survival data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-01 Malka Gorfine , Yair Goldberg , Yaacov Ritov

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 David Hubbard , Benoit Rostykus , Yves Raimond , Tony Jebara

Traditional statistical and machine learning methods typically assume that the training and test data follow the same distribution. However, this assumption is frequently violated in real-world applications, where the training data in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Hanxuan Ye , Hongzhe Li

The usual parametric models for survival data are of the following form. Some parametrically specified hazard rate $\alpha(s,\theta)$ is assumed for possibly censored random life times $X_1^0,\ldots,X_n^0$; one observes only…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Nils Lid Hjort

It is often of interest to study the association between covariates and the cumulative incidence of a right-censored time-to-event outcome. When time-varying covariates are measured on a fixed discrete time scale, it is desirable to account…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Hongxiang Qiu , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke , Peter B. Gilbert

An every increasing number of clinical trials features a time-to-event outcome and records non-tabular patient data, such as magnetic resonance imaging or text data in the form of electronic health records. Recently, several neural-network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Gabriele Campanella , Lucas Kook , Ida Häggström , Torsten Hothorn , Thomas J. Fuchs

We propose a censored quantile regression estimator motivated by unbiased estimating equations. Under the usual conditional independence assumption of the survival time and the censoring time given the covariates, we show that the proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Chenlei Leng , Xingwei Tong

Modern health data science applications leverage abundant molecular and electronic health data, providing opportunities for machine learning to build statistical models to support clinical practice. Time-to-event analysis, also called…

Synthetically generated data can improve privacy, fairness, and data accessibility; however, it can be challenging in specialized scenarios such as survival analysis. One key challenge in this setting is censoring, i.e., the timing of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Mohd Ashhad , Ricardo Henao

This paper introduces an assumption-lean method that constructs valid and efficient lower predictive bounds (LPBs) for survival times with censored data. We build on recent work by Cand\`es et al. (2021), whose approach first subsets the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Yu Gui , Rohan Hore , Zhimei Ren , Rina Foygel Barber

Standard supervised learners attempt to learn a model from a labeled dataset. Given a small set of labeled instances, and a pool of unlabeled instances, a budgeted learner can use its given budget to pay to acquire the labels of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Ali Parsaee , Bei Jiang , Zachary Friggstad , Russell Greiner

We propose a novel approach for estimating mean survival time in the presence of censored data, in which we divide the population under study into survival-ordered fractions defined by a set of proportions, and compute the mean survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-18 Celia García-Pareja , Matteo Bottai

When data are right-censored, i.e. some outcomes are missing due to a limited period of observation, survival analysis can compute the "time to event". Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

One straightforward metric to evaluate a survival prediction model is based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) -- the average of the absolute difference between the time predicted by the model and the true event time, over all subjects.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shi-ang Qi , Neeraj Kumar , Mahtab Farrokh , Weijie Sun , Li-Hao Kuan , Rajesh Ranganath , Ricardo Henao , Russell Greiner

Survival analysis concerns the study of timeline data where the event of interest may remain unobserved (i.e., censored). Studies commonly record more than one type of event, but conventional survival techniques focus on a single event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hylke C. Donker , Harry J. M. Groen

Survival analysis stands as a pivotal process in cancer treatment research, crucial for predicting patient survival rates accurately. Recent advancements in data collection techniques have paved the way for enhancing survival predictions by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Linhao Qu , Dan Huang , Shaoting Zhang , Xiaosong Wang

Existing survival analysis techniques heavily rely on strong modelling assumptions and are, therefore, prone to model misspecification errors. In this paper, we develop an inferential method based on ideas from conformal prediction, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Emmanuel J. Candès , Lihua Lei , Zhimei Ren

Survival analysis is the branch of statistics that studies the relation between the characteristics of living entities and their respective survival times, taking into account the partial information held by censored cases. A good analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Ammar Shaker , Carolin Lawrence