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Particulate matter data now include various particle sizes, which often manifest as a collection of curves observed sequentially over time. When considering 51 distinct particle sizes, these curves form a high-dimensional functional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Han Lin Shang , Israel Martinez Hernandez

Recent technological developments have enabled us to collect complex and high-dimensional data in many scientific fields, such as population health, meteorology, econometrics, geology, and psychology. It is common to encounter such datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-16 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

A new sparse semiparametric model is proposed, which incorporates the influence of two functional random variables in a scalar response in a flexible and interpretable manner. One of the functional covariates is included through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Silvia Novo , Philippe Vieu , Germán Aneiros

The frequency-domain properties of nonstationary functional time series often contain valuable information. These properties are characterized through its time-varying power spectrum. Practitioners seeking low-dimensional summary measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Pramita Bagchi , Scott A. Bruce

When modeling sub-national mortality rates, we should consider three features: (1) how to incorporate any possible correlation among sub-populations to potentially improve forecast accuracy through multi-population joint modeling; (2) how…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

Tensor regression has attracted significant attention in statistical research. This study tackles the challenge of handling covariates with smooth varying structures. We introduce a novel framework, termed functional tensor regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Tongyu Li , Fang Yao , Anru R. Zhang

We study the modeling and prediction of dynamical systems based on conventional models derived from measurements. Such algorithms are highly desirable in situations where the underlying dynamics are hard to model from physical principles or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-08-03 Markus Quade , Markus Abel , Kamran Shafi , Robert K. Niven , Bernd R. Noack

We introduce and analyze a variant of multivariate singular spectrum analysis (mSSA), a popular time series method to impute and forecast a multivariate time series. Under a spatio-temporal factor model we introduce, given $N$ time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Anish Agarwal , Abdullah Alomar , Devavrat Shah

This paper is motivated by modeling the cycle-to-cycle variability associated with the resistive switching operation behind memristors. As the data are by nature curves, functional principal component analysis is a suitable candidate to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 C. Acal , A. M. Aguilera , F. J. Alonso , J. E. Ruiz-Castro , J. B. Roldán

Functional linear regression analysis aims to model regression relations which include a functional predictor. The analog of the regression parameter vector or matrix in conventional multivariate or multiple-response linear regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Yichao Wu , Jianqing Fan , Hans-Georg Müller

We introduce a novel functional time series methodology for short-term load forecasting. The prediction is performed by means of a weighted average of past daily load segments, the shape of which is similar to the expected shape of the load…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

We introduce a new model of linear regression for random functional inputs taking into account the first order derivative of the data. We propose an estimation method which comes down to solving a special linear inverse problem. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Mas , Besnik Pumo

Despite increasing accessibility to function data, effective methods for flexibly estimating underlying functional trend are still scarce. We thereby develop functional version of trend filtering for estimating trend of functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Functional time series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. Important contributions to methodology, theory and application for the prediction of future trajectories and the estimation of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-04 Alexander Aue , Johannes Klepsch

This paper introduces a novel meta-learning algorithm for time series forecast model performance prediction. We model the forecast error as a function of time series features calculated from the historical time series with an efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-11 Thiyanga S. Talagala , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Undirected graphical models are widely used to model the conditional independence structure of vector-valued data. However, in many modern applications, for example those involving EEG and fMRI data, observations are more appropriately…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-29 Boxin Zhao , Percy S. Zhai , Y. Samuel Wang , Mladen Kolar

Functional variables are often used as predictors in regression problems. A commonly-used parametric approach, called {\it scalar-on-function regression}, uses the $\ltwo$ inner product to map functional predictors into scalar responses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Kyungmin Ahn , J. Derek Tucker , Wei Wu , Anuj Srivastava

We study the modeling and forecasting of high-dimensional functional time series (HDFTS), which can be cross-sectionally correlated and temporally dependent. We introduce a decomposition of the HDFTS into two distinct components: a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

When observations are curves over some natural time interval, the field of functional data analysis comes into play. Functional linear processes account for temporal dependence in the data. The prediction problem for functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Johannes Klepsch , Claudia Klüppelberg

We propose solution of the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk