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Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

To make informative public policy decisions in battling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, it is important to know the disease prevalence in a population. There are two intertwined difficulties in estimating this prevalence based on testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Bryan Cai , John P. A. Ioannidis , Eran Bendavid , Lu Tian

We propose robust methods for inference on the effect of a treatment variable on a scalar outcome in the presence of very many controls. Our setting is a partially linear model with possibly non-Gaussian and heteroscedastic disturbances.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen

Valid uncertainty quantification after model selection remains challenging in high-dimensional linear regression, especially within the possibilistic inferential model (PIM) framework. We develop possibilistic inferential models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Yaohui Lin

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

A new method is proposed for the correction of confidence intervals when the original interval does not have the correct nominal coverage probabilities in the frequentist sense. The proposed method is general and does not require any…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-30 P. Menendez , Y. Fan , P. H. Garthwaite , S. A. Sisson

Classical frequentist approaches to inference for the lasso emphasize exact coverage for each feature, which requires debiasing and severs the connection between confidence intervals and the original lasso estimates. To address this, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Logan Harris , Patrick Breheny

Due to the increasing availability of high-dimensional empirical applications in many research disciplines, valid simultaneous inference becomes more and more important. For instance, high-dimensional settings might arise in economic…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-14 Philipp Bach , Victor Chernozhukov , Martin Spindler

Interval identification of parameters such as average treatment effects, average partial effects and welfare is particularly common when using observational data and experimental data with imperfect compliance due to the endogeneity of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Sukjin Han , Adam McCloskey

Statistical inference for high dimensional parameters (HDPs) can be based on their intrinsic correlation; that is, parameters that are close spatially or temporally tend to have more similar values. This is why nonlinear mixed-effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

In this paper, we study inference for high-dimensional data characterized by small sample sizes relative to the dimension of the data. In particular, we provide an infinite-dimensional framework to study statistical models that involve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-25 Jim Kuelbs , Anand N. Vidyashankar

This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. In the selection on observables framework, we show how to construct confidence intervals based on a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Max H. Farrell

Instrumental variable methods are among the most commonly used causal inference approaches to deal with unmeasured confounders in observational studies. The presence of invalid instruments is the primary concern for practical applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Zijian Guo

It is well known that the asymptotic variance of sample quantiles can be reduced under heterogeneity relative to the i.i.d. setting. However, asymptotically correct confidence intervals for quantiles are not yet available. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 John H. J. Einmahl , Yi He

Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Toshi A. Furukawa

Constructing confidence intervals for the coefficients of high-dimensional sparse linear models remains a challenge, mainly because of the complicated limiting distributions of the widely used estimators, such as the lasso. Several methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Hanzhong Liu , Xin Xu , Jingyi Jessica Li

The authors propose a robust semi-parametric empirical likelihood method to integrate all available information from multiple samples with a common center of measurements. Two different sets of estimating equations are used to improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-03 Hsiao-Hsuan Wang , Yuehua Wu , Yuejiao Fu , Xiaogang Wang