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Accurate, fine-grained poverty maps remain scarce across much of the Global South. While Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) provide high-quality socioeconomic data, their spatial coverage is limited and reported coordinates are randomly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Markus B. Pettersson , Adel Daoud

This paper presents a novel approach for modeling mortality rates above age 70 by proposing a mixture-based model. This model is compared to four other widely used models: the Beard, Gompertz, Makeham, and Perks models. Our model can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-18 Silvio C. Patricio , Fredy Castellares , Bernardo L. Queiroz

The relatedness between a country or a firm and a product is a measure of the feasibility of that economic activity. As such, it is a driver for investments at a private and institutional level. Traditionally, relatedness is measured using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Giambattista Albora , Andrea Zaccaria

Transfer learning allows for resource-efficient geographic transfer of pre-trained field delineation models. However, the scarcity of labeled data for complex and dynamic smallholder landscapes, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa, remains a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Philippe Rufin , Sherrie Wang , Sá Nogueira Lisboa , Jan Hemmerling , Mirela G. Tulbure , Patrick Meyfroidt

We provide a novel approach and an exploratory study for modelling life event choices and occurrence from a probabilistic perspective through causal discovery and survival analysis. Our approach is formulated as a bi-level problem. In the…

Observational studies require adjustment for confounding factors that are correlated with both the treatment and outcome. In the setting where the observed variables are tabular quantities such as average income in a neighborhood, tools…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Connor T. Jerzak , Fredrik Johansson , Adel Daoud

Modeling and computation for multivariate longitudinal surveys have proven challenging, particularly when data are not all continuous and Gaussian but contain discrete measurements. In many social science surveys, study participants are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-09 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , Carolyn T. Halpern , Amy H. Herring

Although child malnutrition is improving over the world in the last couple of decades, still now it is concerning issue among the developing countries including Bangladesh. In general, malnutrition is a dichotomous response variable fitted…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-07 Md Mehedi Hasan Bhuiyan

Statistical models are used to produce estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Such models integrate multiple data sources to produce estimates and forecasts with uncertainty based on model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Leontine Alkema , Herbert Susmann , Evan Ray

Multi-state models provide an extension of the usual survival/event-history analysis setting. In the medical domain, multi-state models give the possibility of further investigating intermediate events such as relapse and remission. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 D. Manevski , H. Putter , M. Pohar Perme , E. F. Bonneville , J. Schetelig , L. C. de Wreede

Unit-level models for survey data offer many advantages over their area-level counterparts, such as potential for more precise estimates and a natural benchmarking property. However two main challenges occur in this context: accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

Recent advancements in medicine have confirmed that brain disorders often comprise multiple subtypes of mechanisms, developmental trajectories, or severity levels. Such heterogeneity is often associated with demographic aspects (e.g., sex)…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-08 Magdalini Paschali , Yu Hang Jiang , Spencer Siegel , Camila Gonzalez , Kilian M. Pohl , Akshay Chaudhari , Qingyu Zhao

It is widely recognised that collaboration can help fast-track the development of countries in Africa. Leveraging on the fourth industrial revolution, Africa can achieve accelerated development in health care services, educational systems…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Olasupo O. Ajayi , Antoine B. Bagula , Hloniphani M. Maluleke

Racialized economic segregation, a key metric that simultaneously accounts for spatial, social and income polarization, has been linked to adverse health outcomes, including morbidity and mortality; however, statistical methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-21 Yang Xu , Loni Philip Tabb

Improving health worldwide will require rigorous quantification of population-level trends in health status. However, global-level surveys are not available, forcing researchers to rely on fragmentary country-specific data of varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-20 Mariel M. Finucane , Christopher J. Paciorek , Goodarz Danaei , Majid Ezzati

Informal settlements are home to the most socially and economically vulnerable people on the planet. In order to deliver effective economic and social aid, non-government organizations (NGOs), such as the United Nations Children's Fund…

Disaggregation regression has become an important tool in spatial disease mapping for making fine-scale predictions of disease risk from aggregated response data. By including high resolution covariate information and modelling the data…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-08 Rohan Arambepola , Tim C D Lucas , Anita K Nandi , Peter W Gething , Ewan Cameron

We provide forecasts for mortality rates by using two different approaches. First we employ dynamic non-linear logistic models based on Heligman-Pollard formula. Second, we assume that the dynamics of the mortality rates can be modelled…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Jonathan J. Forster

We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Varun Kshirsagar , Jerzy Wieczorek , Sharada Ramanathan , Rachel Wells

Spatial aggregation with respect to a population distribution involves estimating aggregate quantities for a population based on an observation of individuals in a subpopulation. In this context, a geostatistical workflow must account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-15 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield