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We propose a method for adaptive nonlinear sequential modeling of vector-time series data. Data is modeled as a nonlinear function of past values corrupted by noise, and the underlying non-linear function is assumed to be approximately…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Qiuyi Han , Jie Ding , Edoardo Airoldi , Vahid Tarokh

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

We develop a fully Bayesian framework for function-on-scalars regression with many predictors. The functional data response is modeled nonparametrically using unknown basis functions, which produces a flexible and data-adaptive functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-25 Daniel R. Kowal , Daniel C. Bourgeois

We focus on nonlinear Function-on-Scalar regression, where the predictors are scalar variables, and the responses are functional data. Most existing studies approximate the hidden nonlinear relationships using linear combinations of basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Kazunori Takeshita , Yoshikazu Terada

Multivariate time series classification is a high value and well-known problem in machine learning community. Feature extraction is a main step in classification tasks. Traditional approaches employ hand-crafted features for classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Omolbanin Yazdanbakhsh , Scott Dick

We propose a recurrent neural network for a "model-free" simulation of a dynamical system with unknown parameters without prior knowledge. The deep learning model aims to jointly learn the nonlinear time marching operator and the effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Kyongmin Yeo , Dylan E. C. Grullon , Fan-Keng Sun , Duane S. Boning , Jayant R. Kalagnanam

Multi-dimensional functional data arises in numerous modern scientific experimental and observational studies. In this paper we focus on longitudinal functional data, a structured form of multidimensional functional data. Operating within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-20 John Shamshoian , Damla Senturk , Shafali Jeste , Donatello Telesca

For functional data lying on an unknown nonlinear low-dimensional space, we study manifold learning and introduce the notions of manifold mean, manifold modes of functional variation and of functional manifold components. These constitute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Dong Chen , Hans-Georg Müller

The analysis of complex computer simulations, often involving functional data, presents unique statistical challenges. Conventional regression methods, such as function-on-function regression, typically associate functional outcomes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 R. Jacob Andros , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Devin Francom , Donatella Pasqualini

When predicting scalar responses in the situation where the explanatory variables are functions, it is sometimes the case that some functional variables are related to responses linearly while other variables have more complicated…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-29 Heng Lian

Recently, deep learning has been widely applied in functional data analysis (FDA) with notable empirical success. However, the infinite dimensionality of functional data necessitates an effective dimension reduction approach for functional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Zhongjie Shi , Jun Fan , Linhao Song , Ding-Xuan Zhou , Johan A. K. Suykens

Modern recording techniques enable neuroscientists to simultaneously study neural activity across large populations of neurons, with capturing predictor-dependent correlations being a fundamental challenge in neuroscience. Moreover, the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Ganchao Wei

This article develops flexible methodology to study the association between scalar outcomes and functional predictors observed over time, at many instances, in longitudinal studies. We propose a parsimonious modeling framework to study…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-25 Md Nazmul Islam , Ana-Maria Staicu , Eric van Heugten

Many prediction problems across science and engineering, especially in finance and economics, involve large cross-sections of individual time series, where each unit (e.g., a loan, stock, or customer) is driven by unit-level features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Apaar Sadhwani , Kay Giesecke

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

Function approximation from input and output data pairs constitutes a fundamental problem in supervised learning. Deep neural networks are currently the most popular method for learning to mimic the input-output relationship of a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Nikos Kargas , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

As robots become more common for both able-bodied individuals and those living with a disability, it is increasingly important that lay people be able to drive multi-degree-of-freedom platforms with low-dimensional controllers. One approach…

Dynamic linear models (DLM) offer a very generic framework to analyse time series data. Many classical time series models can be formulated as DLMs, including ARMA models and standard multiple linear regression models. The models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Marko Laine

Time series analysis is a field of data science which is interested in analyzing sequences of numerical values ordered in time. Time series are particularly interesting because they allow us to visualize and understand the evolution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Hassan Ismail Fawaz

Empirically observed time series in physics, biology, or medicine, are commonly generated by some underlying dynamical system (DS) which is the target of scientific interest. There is an increasing interest to harvest machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Daniel Kramer , Philine Lou Bommer , Carlo Tombolini , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz