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As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

This work presents a novel method for task optimization in industrial plants using quantum-inspired tensor network technology. This method obtains the best possible combination of tasks on a set of machines with directed constraints while…

Tensor Network (TN) Kernel Machines speed up model learning by representing parameters as low-rank TNs, reducing computation and memory use. However, most TN-based Kernel methods are deterministic and ignore parameter uncertainty. Further,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-16 Afra Kilic , Kim Batselier

We propose a novel approach to marked Hawkes kernel inference which we name the moment-based neural Hawkes estimation method. Hawkes processes are fully characterized by their first and second order statistics through a Fredholm integral…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Timothée Fabre , Ioane Muni Toke

In this paper, a new definition of tensor p-shrinkage nuclear norm (p-TNN) is proposed based on tensor singular value decomposition (t-SVD). In particular, it can be proved that p-TNN is a better approximation of the tensor average rank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Chunsheng Liu , Hong Shan , Chunlei Chen

Many self-exciting systems change because endogenous amplification, as opposed to exogenous forcing, varies. We study a Hawkes process with fixed background rate and kernel, but piecewise time-varying productivity. For exponential kernels…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-12-30 Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Sophie Phillips

Sparse tensor algebra computations have become important in many real-world applications like machine learning, scientific simulations, and data mining. Hence, automated code generation and performance optimizations for tensor algebra…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Adhitha Dias , Kirshanthan Sundararajah , Charitha Saumya , Milind Kulkarni

Multi-dimensional Hawkes process (MHP) is a class of self and mutually exciting point processes that find wide range of applications -- from prediction of earthquakes to modelling of order books in high frequency trading. This paper makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Sobin Joseph , Lekhapriya Dheeraj Kashyap , Shashi Jain

Randomized numerical linear algebra is proved to bridge theoretical advancements to offer scalable solutions for approximating tensor decomposition. This paper introduces fast randomized algorithms for solving the fixed Tucker-rank problem…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Maolin Che , Yimin Wei , Chong Wu , Hong Yan

Hawkes process (HP) is a point process with a conditionally dependent intensity function. This paper defines the tempered fractional Hawkes process (TFHP) by time-changing the HP with an inverse tempered stable subordinator. We obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari

The recent proposed Tensor Nuclear Norm (TNN) [Lu et al., 2016; 2018a] is an interesting convex penalty induced by the tensor SVD [Kilmer and Martin, 2011]. It plays a similar role as the matrix nuclear norm which is the convex surrogate of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-08 Canyi Lu , Jiashi Feng , Zhouchen Lin , Shuicheng Yan

We aim to explicitly model the delayed Granger causal effects based on multivariate Hawkes processes. The idea is inspired by the fact that a causal event usually takes some time to exert an effect. Studying this time lag itself is of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Chao Yang , Hengyuan Miao , Shuang Li

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs), especially Hawkes Process are commonly used for modeling asynchronous event sequences data such as financial transactions and user behaviors in social networks. Due to the strong fitting ability of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Anningzhe Gao , Shan Dai

Point process models are widely used for continuous asynchronous event data, where each data point includes time and additional information called "marks", which can be locations, nodes, or event types. This paper presents a novel point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Zheng Dong , Matthew Repasky , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

We consider a sequential decision making problem where the agent faces the environment characterized by the stochastic discrete events and seeks an optimal intervention policy such that its long-term reward is maximized. This problem exists…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Chao Qu , Xiaoyu Tan , Siqiao Xue , Xiaoming Shi , James Zhang , Hongyuan Mei

In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

Recently, the \textit{Tensor Nuclear Norm~(TNN)} regularization based on t-SVD has been widely used in various low tubal-rank tensor recovery tasks. However, these models usually require smooth change of data along the third dimension to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Hao Kong , Canyi Lu , Zhouchen Lin

In the future high-luminosity LHC era, high-energy physics experiments face unprecedented computational challenges for event reconstruction. Employing the LHCb vertex locator as a case study we investigate a novel approach for charged…