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The ability to predict future states of the environment is a central pillar of intelligence. At its core, effective prediction requires an internal model of the world and an understanding of the rules by which the world changes. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-21 William Lotter , Gabriel Kreiman , David Cox

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are instrumental in modelling sequential and time-series data. Yet, when using RNNs to inform decision-making, predictions by themselves are not sufficient; we also need estimates of predictive uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Continual learning aims to learn new tasks without forgetting previously learned ones. This is especially challenging when one cannot access data from previous tasks and when the model has a fixed capacity. Current regularization-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-21 Sayna Ebrahimi , Mohamed Elhoseiny , Trevor Darrell , Marcus Rohrbach

A wide range of models have been proposed for Graph Generative Models, necessitating effective methods to evaluate their quality. So far, most techniques use either traditional metrics based on subgraph counting, or the representations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-14 Hamed Shirzad , Kaveh Hassani , Danica J. Sutherland

Many traffic prediction applications rely on uncertainty estimates instead of the mean prediction. Statistical traffic prediction literature has a complete subfield devoted to uncertainty modelling, but recent deep learning traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Tijs Maas , Peter Bloem

Learning representations for graphs plays a critical role in a wide spectrum of downstream applications. In this paper, we summarize the limitations of the prior works in three folds: representation space, modeling dynamics and modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Li Sun , Zhongbao Zhang , Jiawei Zhang , Feiyang Wang , Hao Peng , Sen Su , Philip S. Yu

We propose a recurrent neural network for a "model-free" simulation of a dynamical system with unknown parameters without prior knowledge. The deep learning model aims to jointly learn the nonlinear time marching operator and the effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Kyongmin Yeo , Dylan E. C. Grullon , Fan-Keng Sun , Duane S. Boning , Jayant R. Kalagnanam

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) has been widely used in a variety of fields because of their great potential in representing graph-structured data. However, lacking of rigorous uncertainty estimations limits their application in high-stakes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ting Wang , Zhixin Zhou , Rui Luo

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Generating graph structures is a challenging problem due to the diverse representations and complex dependencies among nodes. In this paper, we introduce Graph Variational Recurrent Neural Network (GraphVRNN), a probabilistic autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Shih-Yang Su , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Greg Mori

Predicting the remaining useful life of machinery, infrastructure, or other equipment can facilitate preemptive maintenance decisions, whereby a failure is prevented through timely repair or replacement. This allows for a better decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Mathias Kraus , Stefan Feuerriegel

We present a new approach for predictive modeling and its uncertainty quantification for mechanical systems, where coarse-grained models such as constitutive relations are derived directly from observation data. We explore the use of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Daniel Z. Huang , Kailai Xu , Charbel Farhat , Eric Darve

Convolution Neural Networks on Graphs are important generalization and extension of classical CNNs. While previous works generally assumed that the graph structures of samples are regular with unified dimensions, in many applications, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Ruoyu Li , Junzhou Huang

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a component or a system is defined as the length from the current time to the end of the useful life. Accurate RUL estimation plays a crucial role in Predictive Maintenance applications. Traditional regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Muthukumar G , Jyosna Philip

Numerical simulators are essential tools in the study of natural fluid-systems, but their performance often limits application in practice. Recent machine-learning approaches have demonstrated their ability to accelerate spatio-temporal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-06 Mario Lino , Stathi Fotiadis , Anil A. Bharath , Chris Cantwell

The increasingly wide use of deep machine learning techniques in computational mechanics has significantly accelerated simulations of problems that were considered unapproachable just a few years ago. However, in critical applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 David Gonzalez , Alba Muixi , Beatriz Moya , Elias Cueto

Graph neural networks trained to predict observable dynamics can be used to decompose the temporal activity of complex heterogeneous systems into simple, interpretable representations. Here we apply this framework to simulated neural…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-17 Cédric Allier , Larissa Heinrich , Magdalena Schneider , Stephan Saalfeld

We consider structure discovery of undirected graphical models from observational data. Inferring likely structures from few examples is a complex task often requiring the formulation of priors and sophisticated inference procedures.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-04 Eugene Belilovsky , Kyle Kastner , Gaël Varoquaux , Matthew Blaschko

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi
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