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Accurate weather and climate prediction relies on data assimilation (DA), which estimates the Earth system state by integrating observations with models. While exascale computing has significantly advanced earth simulation, scalable and…

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

Weather forecasting is fundamentally challenged by the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, necessitating probabilistic approaches to quantify uncertainty. While traditional ensemble prediction (EPS) addresses this through computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Xinlei Xiong , Wenbo Hu , Shuxun Zhou , Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Ying Liu , Richang Hong , Qi Tian

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

Complex nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many areas. Recovering unobserved state variables is an important topic for the data assimilation of turbulent systems. In this article, an efficient continuous in time data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-03 Nan Chen , Yuchen Li , Evelyn Lunasin

Practical Bayesian learning often requires (1) online inference, (2) dynamic models, and (3) ensembling over multiple different models. Recent advances have shown how to use random feature approximations to achieve scalable, online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Daniel Waxman , Petar M. Djurić

Advances in data assimilation (DA) methods have greatly improved the accuracy of Earth system predictions. To fuse multi-source data and reconstruct the nonlinear evolution missing from observations, geoscientists are developing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-19 Qingyu Zheng , Guijun Han , Wei Li , Lige Cao , Gongfu Zhou , Haowen Wu , Qi Shao , Ru Wang , Xiaobo Wu , Xudong Cui , Hong Li , Xuan Wang

The linear ensemble based strategy, i.e., averaging ensemble, has been proposed to improve the performance in unsupervised domain adaptation tasks. However, a typical UDA task is usually challenged by dynamically changing factors, such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Weimin Wu , Jiayuan Fan , Tao Chen , Hancheng Ye , Bo Zhang , Baopu Li

A Data Assimilation (DA) strategy based on an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used to enhance the predictive capabilities of scale resolving numerical tools for the analysis of flows exhibiting cyclic behaviour. More precisely, an ensemble…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-20 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Jacques Borée , Marcello Meldi

Smart system applications (SSAs) built on top of cyber-physical and socio-technical systems are increasingly composed of components that can work both autonomously and by cooperating with each other. Cooperating robots, fleets of cars and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-03 Tomáš Bureš , Ilias Gerostathopoulos , Petr Hnětynka , Jan Pacovský

This paper introduces a novel adaptive ensemble framework that synergistically combines XGBoost and neural networks through sophisticated meta-learning. The proposed method leverages advanced uncertainty quantification techniques and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Arthur Sedek

Dynamic networks, especially those representing social networks, undergo constant evolution of their community structure over time. Nodes can migrate between different communities, communities can split into multiple new communities,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Timothy La Fond , Geoffrey Sanders , Christine Klymko , Van Emden Henson

In always-on HAR deployments, model accuracy erodes silently as domain shift accumulates over time. Addressing this challenge requires moving beyond one-off updates toward instance-driven adaptation from streaming data. However, continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Minghui Qiu , Jun Chen , Lin Chen , Shuxin Zhong , Yandao Huang , Lu Wang , Kaishun Wu

Data assimilation addresses the problem of identifying plausible state trajectories of dynamical systems given noisy or incomplete observations. In geosciences, it presents challenges due to the high-dimensionality of geophysical dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

We identify a strong equivalence between neural network based machine learning (ML) methods and the formulation of statistical data assimilation (DA), known to be a problem in statistical physics. DA, as used widely in physical and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-23 H. D. I. Abarbanel , P. J. Rozdeba , S. Shirman

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

Multisource domain adaptation (MDA) aims to use multiple source datasets with available labels to infer labels on a target dataset without available labels for target supervision. Prior works on MDA in the literature is ad-hoc as the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Alexander M. Glandon , Khan M. Iftekharuddin

Data assimilation is a core component of numerical weather prediction systems. The large quantity of data processed during assimilation requires the computation to be distributed across increasingly many compute nodes, yet existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Oscar Key , So Takao , Daniel Giles , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Performing Data Assimilation (DA) at a low cost is of prime concern in Earth system modeling, particularly at the time of big data where huge quantities of observations are available. Capitalizing on the ability of Neural Networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Mathis Peyron , Anthony Fillion , Selime Gürol , Victor Marchais , Serge Gratton , Pierre Boudier , Gael Goret

Reduced-order modelling and low-dimensional surrogate models generated using machine learning algorithms have been widely applied in high-dimensional dynamical systems to improve the algorithmic efficiency. In this paper, we develop a…

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