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Mathematical modeling of epidemic spreading has been widely adopted to estimate the threats of epidemic diseases (i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic) as well as to evaluate epidemic control interventions. The indoor place is considered to be a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-14 Yao Xiao , Mofeng Yang , Zheng Zhu , Hai Yang , Lei Zhang , Sepehr Ghader

I develop a novel macroeconomic epidemiological agent-based model to study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic under varying policy scenarios. Agents differ with regard to their profession, family status and age and interact with other…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-13 Patrick Mellacher

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the critical role of human behavior in influencing infectious disease transmission and the need for models capturing this complex dynamic. We present an agent-based model integrating an epidemiological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Konstantinos Mitsopoulos , Lawrence Baker , Christian Lebiere , Peter Pirolli , Mark Orr , Raffaele Vardavas

This paper investigates the impact of human activity and mobility (HAM) in the spreading dynamics of an epidemic. Specifically, it explores the interconnections between HAM and its effect on the early spread of the COVID-19 virus. During…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-06 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Chinwendu Enyioha , Suddhasattwa Das

One approach to delay the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is to reduce human travel by imposing travel restriction policies. It is yet unclear how effective those policies are on suppressing the mobility trend due to the lack of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-06 Chenfeng Xiong , Songhua Hu , Mofeng Yang , Hannah N Younes , Weiyu Luo , Sepehr Ghader , Lei Zhang

Given the growth of urbanization and emerging pandemic threats, more sophisticated models are required to understand disease propagation and investigate the impacts of intervention strategies across various city types. We introduce a fully…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-03 Nishant Kumar , Jimi B. Oke , Bat-hen Nahmias-Biran

When considering airborne epidemic spreading in social systems, a natural connection arises between mobility and epidemic contacts. As individuals travel, possibilities to encounter new people either at the final destination or during the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Jesús A. Moreno López , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

Multiple lines of evidence strongly suggest that infection hotspots, where a single individual infects many others, play a key role in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. However, most of the existing epidemiological models fail to…

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected travel behaviors and transportation system operations, and cities are grappling with what policies can be effective for a phased reopening shaped by social distancing. This edition of the white paper…

While several non-pharmacological measures have been implemented for a few months in an effort to slow the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in the United States, the disease remains a danger in a number of counties as restrictions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-06 Chao Fan , Xiangqi Jiang , Ronald Lee , Ali Mostafavi

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

Developing the ability to comprehensively study infections in small populations enables us to improve epidemic models and better advise individuals about potential risks to their health. We currently have a limited understanding of how…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-14 Wen Dong , Katherine A. Heller , Alex Sandy Pentland

Nowadays, social media is the main tool in our new lives. The outbreak news and all related obtained from social media, and mob events affect the of spread these news fast. Recently, epidemiological models to study disease spread and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Jumana H. S. Alkhalissi , Ahmed Al-Taweel

Mathematical and simulation models are often used to predict the spread of a disease and estimate the impact of public health interventions, and many such models have been developed and used during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-18 Jeffrey W. Herrmann , Hongjie Liu , Donald K. Milton

In response to the ongoing pandemic and health emergency of COVID-19, several models have been used to understand the dynamics of virus spread. Some employ mathematical models like the compartmental SEIHRD approach and others rely on…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Raunak Sarbajna , Karima Elgarroussi , Hoang D Vo , Jianyuan Ni , Christoph F. Eick

A model of interacting agents, following plausible behavioral rules into a world where the Covid-19 epidemic is affecting the actions of everyone. The model works with (i) infected agents categorized as symptomatic or asymptomatic and (ii)…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Gianpiero Pescarmona , Pietro Terna , Alberto Acquadro , Paolo Pescarmona , Giuseppe Russo , Emilio Sulis , Stefano Terna

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), due to its extremely high infectivity, has been spreading rapidly around the world and bringing huge influence to socioeconomic development as well as people's daily life. Taking for example the virus…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Pei Lv , Quan Zhang , Boya Xu , Ran Feng , Chaochao Li , Junxiao Xue , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu