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One of the emerging trends for sports analytics is the growing use of player and ball tracking data. A parallel development is deep learning predictive approaches that use vast quantities of data with less reliance on feature engineering.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-17 Rajiv Shah , Rob Romijnders

Basketball games evolve continuously in space and time as players constantly interact with their teammates, the opposing team, and the ball. However, current analyses of basketball outcomes rely on discretized summaries of the game that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-11 Daniel Cervone , Alex D'Amour , Luke Bornn , Kirk Goldsberry

Understanding a player's performance in a basketball game requires an evaluation of the player in the context of their teammates and the opposing lineup. Here, we present NBA2Vec, a neural network model based on Word2Vec which extracts…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-28 Webster Guan , Nauman Javed , Peter Lu

We present an algorithm for learning the intrinsic value of a batted ball in baseball. This work addresses the fundamental problem of separating the value of a batted ball at contact from factors such as the defense, weather, and ballpark…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-02 Glenn Healey

In this paper, Poisson time series models are considered to describe the number of field goals made by a basketball team or player at both the game (within-season) and the minute (within-game) level. To deal with the existence of temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-05 Álvaro Briz-Redón

This paper presents a unified framework to (i) locate the ball, (ii) predict the pose, and (iii) segment the instance mask of players in team sports scenes. Those problems are of high interest in automated sports analytics, production, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Seyed Abolfazl Ghasemzadeh , Gabriel Van Zandycke , Maxime Istasse , Niels Sayez , Amirafshar Moshtaghpour , Christophe De Vleeschouwer

Data analytics in sports is crucial to evaluate the performance of single players and the whole team. The literature proposes a number of tools for both offence and defence scenarios. Data coming from tracking location of players, in this…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-28 Tullio Facchinetti , Rodolfo Metulini , Paola Zuccolotto

Although basketball is a dualistic sport, with all players competing on both offense and defense, almost all of the sport's conventional metrics are designed to summarize offensive play. As a result, player valuations are largely based on…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-29 Alexander Franks , Andrew Miller , Luke Bornn , Kirk Goldsberry

Consider the problem of modeling memory effects in discrete-state random walks using higher-order Markov chains. This paper explores cross validation and information criteria as proxies for a model's predictive accuracy. Our objective is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Joshua C. Chang

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau

Statistical methodology is proposed for comparing unlabeled marked point sets, with an application to aligning steroid molecules in chemoinformatics. Methods from statistical shape analysis are combined with techniques for predicting random…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Irina Czogiel , Ian L. Dryden , Christopher J. Brignell

It is customary for researchers and practitioners to fit linear models in order to predict NBA player's salary based on the players' performance on court. On the contrary, we focus on the players salary share (with regards to the team…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-07 Ioanna Papadaki , Michail Tsagris

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

In this paper we model basketball plays as episodes from team-specific non-stationary Markov decision processes (MDPs) with shot clock dependent transition probabilities. Bayesian hierarchical models are employed in the modeling and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-19 Nathan Sandholtz , Luke Bornn

Due to spatial dependence -- often characterized as complex and non-linear -- model misspecification is a prevalent and critical issue in spatial data analysis and prediction. As the data, and thus model performance, is heterogeneous,…

Understanding player shooting profiles is an essential part of basketball analysis: knowing where certain opposing players like to shoot from can help coaches neutralize offensive gameplans from their opponents; understanding where their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Alejandro Rodriguez Pascual , Ishan Mehta , Muhammad Khan , Frank Rodriz , Rose Yu

A new approach in team sports analysis consists in studying positioning and movements of players during the game in relation to team performance. State of the art tracking systems produce spatio-temporal traces of players that have…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-06 Rodolfo Metulini , Marica Manisera , Paola Zuccolotto

The use of statistical modeling in baseball has received substantial attention recently in both the media and academic community. We focus on a relatively under-explored topic: the use of statistical models for the analysis of fielding…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-14 Shane T. Jensen , Kenneth E. Shirley , Abraham J. Wyner

Tracking the players and the ball in team sports is key to analyse the performance or to enhance the game watching experience with augmented reality. When the only sources for this data are broadcast videos, sports-field registration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Adrien Maglo , Astrid Orcesi , Quoc Cuong Pham

A new range of statistical analysis has emerged in sports after the introduction of the high-resolution player tracking technology, specifically in basketball. However, this high dimensional data is often challenging for statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-12 Edgar Santos-Fernandez , Francesco Denti , Kerrie Mengersen , Antonietta Mira