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Importance sampling is a widely used technique to reduce the variance of a Monte Carlo estimator by an appropriate change of measure. In this work, we study importance sam- pling in the framework of diffusion process and consider the change…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte , Marcus Weber , Wei Zhang

In statistics and machine learning, approximation of an intractable integration is often achieved by using the unbiased Monte Carlo estimator, but the variances of the estimation are generally high in many applications. Control variates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruosi Wan , Mingjun Zhong , Haoyi Xiong , Zhanxing Zhu

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are primarily used for sampling from a given probability distribution and estimating multi-dimensional integrals based on the information contained in the generated samples. Whenever it is possible, more…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-22 Manuel Athènes , Pierre Terrier

In an optimal control strategy, an important point is to define the cost of the control. Usually it is added to the control criterion and multiplied by a small coefficient denoted by $\varepsilon$ which is known as the marginal cost of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Philippe Destuynder , Erwan Liberge

A new computational method for finite-temperature properties of strongly correlated electrons is proposed by extending the variational Monte Carlo method originally developed for the ground state. The method is based on the path integral in…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2016-06-10 Kensaku Takai , Kota Ido , Takahiro Misawa , Youhei Yamaji , Masatoshi Imada

In this paper we present a new approach to control variates for improving computational efficiency of Ensemble Monte Carlo. We present the approach using simulation of paths of a time-dependent nonlinear stochastic equation. The core idea…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-09-25 T. Borogovac , F. J. Alexander , P. Vakili

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

We present a new Monte Carlo method for obtaining solutions of the Boltzmann equation for describing phonon transport in micro and nanoscale devices. The proposed method can resolve arbitrarily small signals (e.g. temperature differences)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Jean-Philippe Peraud , Nicolas Hadjiconstantinou

We propose a new recursive procedure to estimate the microcanonical density of states in multicanonical Monte Carlo simulations which relies only on measurements of moments of the energy distribution, avoiding entirely the need for energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Viana Lopes , Miguel D. Costa , J. M. B. Lopes dos Santos , R. Toral

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

In a previous article we developed an approach to the optimal (minimum variance, unbiased) statistical estimation technique for the equilibrium displacement of a damped, harmonic oscillator in the presence of thermal noise. Here, we expand…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-28 Jason H. Steffen , Michael W. Moore , Paul E. Boynton

In Monte Carlo simulations, proposed configurations are accepted or rejected according to an acceptance ratio, which depends on an underlying probability distribution and an a priori sampling probability. By carefully selecting the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Emanuel Casiano-Diaz , Kipton Barros , Ying Wai Li , Adrian Del Maestro

The control variates method is a classical variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo estimators that exploits correlated auxiliary variables without introducing bias. In many applications, the quantity of interest can be expressed as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Louison Bocquet-Nouaille , Jérôme Morio , Benjamin Bobbia

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

We study a variance reduction strategy based on control variables for simulating the averaged macroscopic behavior of a stochastic slow-fast system. We assume that this averaged behavior can be written in terms of a few slow degrees of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-16 Ward Melis , Giovanni Samaey

We describe a strategy to improve the efficiency of free energy estimates by reducing dissipation in nonequilibrium Monte Carlo simulations. This strategy generalizes the targeted free energy perturbation approach [Phys. Rev. E. 65, 046122,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Suriyanarayanan Vaikuntanathan , Christopher Jarzynski

The radiative transfer equation models various physical processes ranging from plasma simulations to radiation therapy. In practice, these phenomena are often subject to uncertainties. Modeling and propagating these uncertainties requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Chinmay Patwardhan , Pia Stammer , Emil Løvbak , Jonas Kusch , Sebastian Krumscheid

A statistical method is derived for the calculation of thermodynamic properties of many-body systems at low temperatures. This method is based on the self-healing diffusion Monte Carlo method for complex functions [F. A. Reboredo J. Chem.…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-03-05 Fernando A. Reboredo , Jeongnim Kim

Ensuring a satisfactory statistical convergence of anharmonic thermodynamic properties requires sampling of many atomic configurations, however the methods to obtain those necessarily produce correlated samples, thereby reducing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-07 Erki Metsanurk

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang
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