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Model instability and poor prediction of long-term behavior are common problems when modeling dynamical systems using nonlinear "black-box" techniques. Direct optimization of the long-term predictions, often called simulation error…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

Blind system identification is known to be a hard ill-posed problem and without further assumptions, no unique solution is at hand. In this contribution, we are concerned with the task of identifying an ARX model from only output…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-03-28 Henrik Ohlsson , Lillian Ratliff , Roy Dong , S. Shankar Sastry

This work presents a new meta-heuristic approach to select the structure of polynomial NARX models for regression and classification problems. The method takes into account the complexity of the model and the contribution of each term to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 W. R. Lacerda Junior , S. A. M. Martins , E. G. Nepomuceno

We design specific neural networks (NNs) for the identification of switching nonlinear systems in the state-space form, which explicitly model the switching behavior and address the inherent coupling between system parameters and switching…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-14 Yanxin Zhang , Chengpu Yu , Filippo Fabiani

This article is concerned with the identification of autoregressive with exogenous inputs (ARX) models. Most of the existing approaches like prediction error minimization and state-space framework are widely accepted and utilized for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-12 Deepak Maurya , Arun K. Tangirala , Shankar Narasimhan

The polynomial NARMAX (Nonlinear AutoRegressive Moving Average model with eXogenous input) is a model that represents the dynamics of physical systems. This polynomial contains information from the past of the inputs and outputs of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-22 Priscila F. S. Guedes , M. L. C. Peixoto , A. M. Barbosa , S. A. M. Martins , E. G. Nepomuceno

This paper applies the classical prediction error method (PEM) to the estimation of nonlinear discrete-time models of neuronal systems subject to input-additive noise. While the nonlinear system exhibits excitability, bifurcations, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-19 Thiago B. Burghi , Maarten Schoukens , Rodolphe Sepulchre

This paper considers model predictive control of Hammerstein systems, where the linear dynamics are a priori unknown and the input nonlinearity is known. Predictive cost adaptive control (PCAC) is applied to this system using recursive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-29 Mohammadreza Kamaldar , Dennis S. Bernstein

Block-oriented nonlinear models are popular in nonlinear modeling because of their advantages to be quite simple to understand and easy to use. To increase the flexibility of single branch block-oriented models, such as Hammerstein, Wiener,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-23 Maarten Schoukens , Anna Marconato , Rik Pintelon , Gerd Vandersteen , Yves Rolain

In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm for the identification of Hammerstein systems. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we model the impulse response of the unknown linear dynamic system as a realization of a zero-mean Gaussian process.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

This paper investigates two issues on identification of switched linear systems: persistence of excitation and numerical algorithms. The main contribution is a much weaker condition on the regressor to be persistently exciting that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-07 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Changming Cheng , Er-Wei Bai

Autoregressive exogenous (ARX) systems are the general class of input-output dynamical systems used for modeling stochastic linear dynamical systems (LDS) including partially observable LDS such as LQG systems. In this work, we study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Sahin Lale , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Babak Hassibi , Anima Anandkumar

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

We propose a recursive Bayesian estimation procedure for multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous inputs based on message passing in a factor graph. Unlike recursive least-squares, our method produces full posterior distributions…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 T. N. Nisslbeck , Wouter M. Kouw

We report a comparative analysis of three dynamic neural network (NN) architectures -- NAR, NARX, and NIO -- to evaluate their efficiency in estimating the critical-measurement-strength parameter ($c_{crit}$) characterizing topological…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Graciana Puentes

Diffusion and flow-based non-autoregressive (NAR) models have shown strong promise in large language modeling, however, their potential for automatic speech recognition (ASR) remains largely unexplored. We propose Drax, a discrete flow…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Aviv Navon , Aviv Shamsian , Neta Glazer , Yael Segal-Feldman , Gill Hetz , Joseph Keshet , Ethan Fetaya

Optimization techniques play a crucial role in estimating parameters and state information for nonlinear systems. However, some critical aspects of these problems have received little attention in previous research. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Kaushal Kumar

Nonlinear systems play a significant role in numerous scientific and engineering disciplines, and comprehending their behavior is crucial for the development of effective control and prediction strategies. This paper introduces a novel…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Kaushal Kumar

In this paper, the parameter estimation problem for a multi-timescale adaptive threshold (MAT) neuronal model is investigated. By manipulating the system dynamics, which comprise of a non-resetting leaky integrator coupled with an adaptive…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-13 Amirhossein Jabalameli , Aman Behal

We propose a convex optimization procedure for black-box identification of nonlinear state-space models for systems that exhibit stable limit cycles (unforced periodic solutions). It extends the "robust identification error" framework in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Ian R. Manchester , Mark M. Tobenkin , Jennifer Wang