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We consider the problem of accurately measuring the credit risk of a portfolio consisting of loss exposures such as loans, bonds and other financial assets. We are particularly interested in the probability of large portfolio losses. We…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-03 Kevin Lam , Zdravko Botev

The paper examines the performance of regression models (OLS linear regression, Ridge regression, Random Forest, and Fully-connected Neural Network) on the prediction of CMA (Conservative Minus Aggressive) factor premium and the performance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Prabhu Prasad Panda , Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei , Xilin Chen , Haoshu Lyu

We present a stochastic programming model for informing the deployment of ad hoc flood mitigation measures to protect electrical substations prior to an imminent and uncertain hurricane. The first stage captures the deployment of a fixed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Brent Austgen , Erhan Kutanoglu , John J. Hasenbein

This paper investigates the finite horizon risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with physical and information-induced default contagion. It is assumed that the underlying regime-switching process has…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Lijun Bo , Huafu Liao , Xiang Yu

We propose a deep hedging framework for index option portfolios, grounded in a realistic market simulator that captures the joint dynamics of S&P 500 returns and the full implied volatility surface. Our approach integrates surface-informed…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-14 Pascal François , Geneviève Gauthier , Frédéric Godin , Carlos O. Pérez-Mendoza

This study explores the use of Transformer-based models to predict both covariance and semi-covariance matrices for ETF portfolio optimization. Traditional portfolio optimization techniques often rely on static covariance estimates or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Jiahao Zhu , Hengzhi Wu

We present a function-valued stochastic volatility model designed to capture the continuous-time evolution of forward curves in fixed-income or commodity markets. The dynamics of the (logarithmic) forward curves are defined by a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-23 Sven Karbach

We show that stochastic recovery always leads to counter-intuitive behaviors in the risk measures of a CDO tranche - namely, continuity on default and positive credit spread risk cannot be ensured simultaneously. We then propose a simple…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-03 Emmanuel Schertzer , Yadong Li , Umer Khan

This paper studies a valuation framework for financial contracts subject to reference and counterparty default risks with collateralization requirement. We propose a fixed point approach to analyze the mark-to-market contract value with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-27 Jinbeom Kim , Tim Leung

This paper presents a meta-learning framework for credit risk assessment of Italian Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) that explicitly addresses the temporal misalignment of credit scoring models. The approach aligns financial statement…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 O. Didkovskyi , A. Vidali , N. Jean , G. Le Pera

In this work we study the price-hedge issue for general defaultable contracts characterized by the presence of a contingent CSA of switching type. This is a contingent risk mitigation mechanism that allow the counterparties of a defaultable…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-02 Giovanni Mottola

The Heston stochastic volatility model is a standard model for valuing financial derivatives, since it can be calibrated using semi-analytical formulas and captures the most basic structure of the market for financial derivatives with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Daniel Guterding , Wolfram Boenkost

Explicit robust hedging strategies for convex or concave payoffs under a continuous semimartingale model with uncertainty and small transaction costs are constructed. In an asymptotic sense, the upper and lower bounds of the cumulative…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-13 Masaaki Fukasawa

This study provides a consistent and efficient pricing method for both Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPX) options and the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index (VIX) options under a multiscale stochastic volatility model. To…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Jaegi Jeon , Geonwoo Kim , Jeonggyu Huh

We investigate a multi-factor extension of the asymptotic single risk factor (ASRF) model that underlies the capital charges of the "Basel II Accord". In this extended model, it is still possible to derive closed-form solutions for the risk…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Dirk Tasche

The research presented in this article provides an alternative option pricing approach for a class of rough fractional stochastic volatility models. These models are increasingly popular between academics and practitioners due to their…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-02 Raul Merino , Jan Pospíšil , Tomáš Sobotka , Tommi Sottinen , Josep Vives

In this paper, we improve the performance of the large basket approximation developed by Reisinger et al. to calibrate Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) to iTraxx market data. The iTraxx tranches and index are computed using a basket of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-26 Marco Di Francesco , Kevin Kamm

We evaluate the hedging performance of a high-order compact finite difference scheme from [4] for option pricing in Bates model. We compare the scheme's hedging performance to standard finite difference methods in different examples. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-17 Bertram Düring , Alexander Pitkin

We investigate the problem of pricing and hedging derivatives of Electricity Futures contract when the underlying asset is not available. We propose to use a cross hedging strategy based on the Futures contract covering the larger delivery…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-03 Adrien Nguyen Huu , Nadia Oudjane

I explicitly work out closed form solutions for the optimal hedging strategies (in the sense of Bouchaud and Sornette) in the case of European call options, where the underlying is modeled by (unbiased) iid additive returns with Student-t…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 K. Pinn