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Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

Learning for control in repeated tasks allows for well-designed experiments to gather the most useful data. We consider the setting in which we use a data-driven controller that does not have access to the true system dynamics. Rather, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-21 Sean Anderson , Katie Byl , João P. Hespanha

Designing controllers under uncertainty requires balancing the need to explore system dynamics with the requirement to maintain reliable control performance. Dual control addresses this challenge by selecting actions that both regulate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Mohammad Mahmoudi Filabadi , Guillaume Crevecoeur , Tom Lefebvre

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

This paper proposes embedded Gaussian Process Barrier States (GP-BaS), a methodology to safely control unmodeled dynamics of nonlinear system using Bayesian learning. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are used to model the dynamics of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-02 Hassan Almubarak , Manan Gandhi , Yuichiro Aoyama , Nader Sadegh , Evangelos A. Theodorou

This work presents the estimation of the parameters of an experimental setup, which is modeled as a system with three degrees of freedom, composed by a shaft, two rotors, and a DC motor, that emulates a drilling process. A Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Mario Germán Sandoval , Americo Cunha , Rubens Sampaio

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

We present a Bayesian approach to identify optimal transformations that map model input points to low dimensional latent variables. The "projection" mapping consists of an orthonormal matrix that is considered a priori unknown and needs to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-22 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Valeria Andreoli , Thomas Vandeputte , Liping Wang

Using quantum systems as sensors or probes has been shown to greatly improve the precision of parameter estimation by exploiting unique quantum features such as entanglement. A major task in quantum sensing is to design the optimal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-24 Jessica Bavaresco , Patryk Lipka-Bartosik , Pavel Sekatski , Mohammad Mehboudi

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Julius von Kügelgen , Paul K Rubenstein , Bernhard Schölkopf , Adrian Weller

Gaussian process modeling is a standard tool for building emulators for computer experiments, which are usually used to study deterministic functions, for example, a solution to a given system of partial differential equations. This work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Wenjia Wang

A Bayesian optimal experimental design framework is developed for experiments where settings of one or more variables, referred to as profile variables, can be functions. For this type of experiment, a design consists of combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Damianos Michaelides , Maria Adamou , David C. Woods , Antony M. Overstall

Automation is becoming ubiquitous in all laboratory activities, leading towards precisely defined and codified laboratory protocols. However, the integration between laboratory protocols and mathematical models is still lacking. Models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-30 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti

We consider a class of misspecified dynamical models where the governing term is only approximately known. Under the assumption that observations of the system's evolution are accessible for various initial conditions, our goal is to infer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-06 Gal Shulkind , Lior Horesh , Haim Avron

Mechanistic mathematical models of biological systems usually contain a number of unknown parameters whose values need to be estimated from available experimental data in order for the models to be validated and used to make quantitative…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Yue Liu , Philip K. Maini , Ruth E. Baker

The optimization of composition and processing to obtain materials that exhibit desirable characteristics has historically relied on a combination of scientist intuition, trial and error, and luck. We propose a methodology that can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Julia Ling , Max Hutchinson , Erin Antono , Sean Paradiso , Bryce Meredig

Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) selects experiments to maximize information gain about model parameters. However, in decision-critical settings, reducing parameter uncertainty does not necessarily improve downstream decisions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinwoo Go , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

To validate the safety of automated vehicles (AV), scenario-based testing aims to systematically describe driving scenarios an AV might encounter. In this process, continuous inputs such as velocities result in an infinite number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Max Winkelmann , Mike Kohlhoff , Hadj Hamma Tadjine , Steffen Müller