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We consider prediction theory for stationary stochastic processes in continuous time. We discuss prediction using the whole (infinite) past, and using only a finite section of the past. The solutions to both these classical problems have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 N. H. Bingham

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

Time evolving surfaces can be modeled as two-dimensional Functional time series, exploiting the tools of Functional data analysis. Leveraging this approach, a forecasting framework for such complex data is developed. The main focus revolves…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Niccolò Ajroldi , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

An overview is given about the statistical physics of neural networks generating and analysing time series. Storage capacity, bit and sequence generation, prediction error, antipredictable sequences, interacting perceptrons and the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Wolfgang Kinzel

The availability of large amounts of time series data, paired with the performance of deep-learning algorithms on a broad class of problems, has recently led to significant interest in the use of sequence-to-sequence models for time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Zelda Mariet

This survey delves into the application of diffusion models in time-series forecasting. Diffusion models are demonstrating state-of-the-art results in various fields of generative AI. The paper includes comprehensive background information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Caspar Meijer , Lydia Y. Chen

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

Diffusion models have been widely used in time series and spatio-temporal data, enhancing generative, inferential, and downstream capabilities. These models are applied across diverse fields such as healthcare, recommendation, climate,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yiyuan Yang , Ming Jin , Haomin Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Lintao Ma , Yi Wang , Chenghao Liu , Bin Yang , Zenglin Xu , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen

This work presents an introduction to feature-based time-series analysis. The time series as a data type is first described, along with an overview of the interdisciplinary time-series analysis literature. I then summarize the range of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Ben D. Fulcher

We present online prediction methods for time series that let us explicitly handle nonstationary artifacts (e.g. trend and seasonality) present in most real time series. Specifically, we show that applying appropriate transformations to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Avleen Bijral , Juan Lavista Ferres

This article presents a novel method for prediction of stationary functional time series, in particular for trajectories that share a similar pattern but display variable phases. The limitation of most of the existing prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Hernando Ombao

Prediction is a complex notion, and different predictors (such as people, computer programs, and probabilistic theories) can pursue very different goals. In this paper I will review some popular kinds of prediction and argue that the theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

Accurate curve forecasting is of vital importance for policy planning, decision making and resource allocation in many engineering and industrial applications. In this paper we establish a theoretical foundation for the optimal short-term…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Yan Cui , Zhou Zhou

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

When observations are curves over some natural time interval, the field of functional data analysis comes into play. Functional linear processes account for temporal dependence in the data. The prediction problem for functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Johannes Klepsch , Claudia Klüppelberg

This paper reports on the application to field measurements of time series methods developed on the basis of the theory of deterministic chaos. The major difficulties are pointed out that arise when the data cannot be assumed to be purely…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Thomas Schreiber
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