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Chaotic systems, such as turbulent flows, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. However, their study remains a challenge due to the large range scales, and the strong interaction with other, often not fully understood, physics. As a…

Building design optimization often depends on physics-based simulation tools such as EnergyPlus, which, although accurate, are computationally expensive and slow. Surrogate models provide a faster alternative, yet most are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Piragash Manmatharasan , Girma Bitsuamlak , Katarina Grolinger

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods typically require fully observed data to infer parameters of models with intractable likelihood functions. However, datasets often contain missing values due to incomplete observations, data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yogesh Verma , Ayush Bharti , Vikas Garg

Wind power forecasting is essential to power system operation and electricity markets. As abundant data became available thanks to the deployment of measurement infrastructures and the democratization of meteorological modelling, extensive…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Industrial machine learning systems face data challenges that are often under-explored in the academic literature. Common data challenges are data distribution shifts, missing values and anomalies. In this paper, we discuss data challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Shubham Kapoor , Tim Januschowski

Crowdsourced vehicle-based observations have the potential to improve forecast skill in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction (NWP). The aim of this paper is to explore the characteristics of vehicle-based observations of air…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-27 Zackary Bell , Sarah L Dance , Joanne A Waller

Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Smit Marvaniya , Jitendra Singh , Nicolas Galichet , Fred Ochieng Otieno , Geeth De Mel , Kommy Weldemariam

Several statistical models are given in the form of unnormalized densities, and calculation of the normalization constant is intractable. We propose estimation methods for such unnormalized models with missing data. The key concept is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Masatoshi Uehara , Takeru Matsuda , Jae Kwang Kim

This work aims to combine two primary meteorological data sources in the Philippines: data from a sparse network of weather stations and outcomes of a numerical weather prediction model. To this end, we propose a data fusion model which is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-31 Stephen Jun Villejo , Sara Martino , Finn Lindgren , Janine Illian

Accurate time series forecasts are crucial for various applications, such as traffic management, electricity consumption, and healthcare. However, limitations in models and data quality can significantly impact forecasts accuracy. One…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Noufel Saad , Maaroufi Nadir , Najib Mehdi , Bakhouya Mohamed

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program is a U.S. Department of Energy project that collects meteorological observations at several locations around the world in order to study how weather processes affect global climate change. As…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Joseph Guinness , Michael L. Stein

Weather forecasting is critical for a range of human activities including transportation, agriculture, industry, as well as the safety of the general public. Machine learning models have the potential to transform the complex weather…

Robust generalization under climate change remains a major challenge for machine learning applications in climate science. Most existing approaches struggle to extrapolate beyond the climate they were trained on, leading to a strong…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Shuchang Liu , Paul A. O'Gorman

Urban pollution poses serious health risks, particularly in relation to traffic-related air pollution, which remains a major concern in many cities. Vehicle emissions contribute to respiratory and cardiovascular issues, especially for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Sen Yan , David J. O'Connor , Xiaojun Wang , Noel E. O'Connor , Alan F. Smeaton , Mingming Liu

This paper presents a Deep Learning (DL) framework for 48-hour forecasting of temperature, solar irradiance, and relative humidity to support Model Predictive Control (MPC) in smart HVAC systems. The approach employs a stacked Bidirectional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Georgios Vamvouras , Konstantinos Braimakis , Christos Tzivanidis

This tutorial aims to provide signal processing (SP) and machine learning (ML) practitioners with vital tools, in an accessible way, to answer the question: How to deal with missing data? There are many strategies to handle incomplete…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-06 Alexandre Hippert-Ferrer , Aude Sportisse , Amirhossein Javaheri , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Daniel P. Palomar