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Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible class of priors for nonparametric Bayesian regression, but popular GP posterior inference methods are typically prohibitively slow or lack desirable finite-data guarantees on quality. We develop an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-28 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

To achieve scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes, we propose a variational approximation based on a family of Gaussian distributions whose covariance matrices have sparse inverse Cholesky (SIC) factors. We combine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Jian Cao , Myeongjong Kang , Felix Jimenez , Huiyan Sang , Florian Schafer , Matthias Katzfuss

Bayesian optimization has proven to be a highly effective methodology for the global optimization of unknown, expensive and multimodal functions. The ability to accurately model distributions over functions is critical to the effectiveness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-13 Jasper Snoek , Kevin Swersky , Richard S. Zemel , Ryan P. Adams

Generative flow networks (GFNs) are a class of models for sequential sampling of composite objects, which approximate a target distribution that is defined in terms of an energy function or a reward. GFNs are typically trained using a flow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Heiko Zimmermann , Fredrik Lindsten , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Christian A. Naesseth

This paper presents a distance-based discriminative framework for learning with probability distributions. Instead of using kernel mean embeddings or generalized radial basis kernels, we introduce embeddings based on dissimilarity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Alain Rakotomamonjy , Abraham Traoré , Maxime Berar , Rémi Flamary , Nicolas Courty

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

The problem of filtering information from large correlation matrices is of great importance in many applications. We have recently proposed the use of the Kullback-Leibler distance to measure the performance of filtering algorithms in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , R. N. Mantegna

Bayesian optimisation is a well-known sample-efficient method for the optimisation of expensive black-box functions. However when dealing with big search spaces the algorithm goes through several low function value regions before reaching…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Anil Ramachandran , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Cheng Li , Svetha Venkatesh

The Bayesian predictive density has complex representation and does not belong to any finite-dimensional statistical model except for in limited situations. In this paper, we introduce its simple approximate representation employing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

Bayesian neural network posterior distributions have a great number of modes that correspond to the same network function. The abundance of such modes can make it difficult for approximate inference methods to do their job. Recent work has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Tommy Rochussen

The choice of the prior distribution is a key aspect of Bayesian analysis. For the spatial regression setting a subjective prior choice for the parameters may not be trivial, from this perspective, using the objective Bayesian analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jose A. Ordoñez , Marcos O. Prates , Larissa A. Matos , Victor H. Lachos

We propose a new approach for assigning weights to models using a divergence-based method ({\em D-probabilities}), relying on evaluating parametric models relative to a nonparametric Bayesian reference using Kullback-Leibler divergence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Meng Li , David B. Dunson

In variational inference (VI), an approximation of the posterior distribution is selected from a family of distributions through numerical optimization. With the most common variational objective function, known as the evidence lower bound…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-15 Declan McNamara , Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

Biological data objects often have both of the following features: (i) they are functions rather than single numbers or vectors, and (ii) they are correlated due to phylogenetic relationships. In this paper we give a flexible statistical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-20 Nick S. Jones , John Moriarty

We consider learning with possibilistic supervision for multi-class classification. For each training instance, the supervision is a normalized possibility distribution that expresses graded plausibility over the classes. From this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Ismaïl Baaj , Pierre Marquis

Empirical risk minimization, a cornerstone in machine learning, is often hindered by the Optimizer's Curse stemming from discrepancies between the empirical and true data-generating distributions.To address this challenge, the robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Haojie Yan , Minglong Zhou , Jiayi Guo

Gaussian Processes and the Kullback-Leibler divergence have been deeply studied in Statistics and Machine Learning. This paper marries these two concepts and introduce the local Kullback-Leibler divergence to learn about intervals where two…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-13 Nicolás Hernández , Gabriel Martos

The functional linear regression model is a common tool to determine the relationship between a scalar outcome and a functional predictor seen as a function of time. This paper focuses on the Bayesian estimation of the support of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-09 Paul-Marie Grollemund , Christophe Abraham , Meïli Baragatti , Pierre Pudlo

Optimal data detection in massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems often requires prohibitively high computational complexity. A variety of detection algorithms have been proposed in the literature, offering different…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Yong Li , Sushanta K. Mallick , Tao Zeng , Junxing Zhang

We propose inferential tools for functional linear quantile regression where the conditional quantile of a scalar response is assumed to be a linear functional of a functional covariate. In contrast to conventional approaches, we employ…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Peijun Sang , Zuofeng Shang , Pang Du
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