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COVID-19 data released by public health authorities features the presence of notable time-delays, corresponding to the difference between actual time of infection and identification of infection. These delays have several causes, including…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Nicola Guglielmi , Elisa Iacomini , Alex Viguerie

COVID-19 resulted in some of the largest supply chain disruptions in recent history. To mitigate the impact of future disruptions, we propose an integrated hybrid simulation framework to couple nonstationary demand signals from an event…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Mustafa Can Camur , Chin-Yuan Tseng , Aristotelis E. Thanos , Chelsea C. White , Walter Yund , Eleftherios Iakovou

We model further development of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK given the current data and assuming different scenarios of handling the epidemic. In this research, we further extend the stochastic model suggested in \cite{us} and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Anatoly Zhigljavsky , Roger Whitaker , Ivan Fesenko , Kobi Kremnizer , Jack Noonan

Road user trajectory prediction in dynamic environments is a challenging but crucial task for various applications, such as autonomous driving. One of the main challenges in this domain is the multimodal nature of future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Younwoo Choi , Ray Coden Mercurius , Soheil Mohamad Alizadeh Shabestary , Amir Rasouli

Progress notes are among the most clinically meaningful artifacts in an Electronic Health Record (EHR), offering temporally grounded insights into a patient's evolving condition, treatments, and care decisions. Despite their importance,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Garapati Keerthana , Manik Gupta

There has been an increasing focus in learning interpretable feature representations, particularly in applications such as medical image analysis that require explainability, whilst relying less on annotated data (since annotations can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Gabriele Valvano , Agisilaos Chartsias , Andrea Leo , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

Most COVID-19 predictive modeling efforts use statistical or mathematical models to predict national- and state-level COVID-19 cases or deaths in the future. These approaches assume parameters such as reproduction time, test positivity…

The evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic has been accompanied by accumulating evidence on the underlying epidemiological parameters. Hence there is potential for models providing mid-term forecasts of the epidemic trajectory using such…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-10 Peter Congdon

The availability of intensive care beds during the Covid-19 epidemic is crucial to guarantee the best possible treatment to severely affected patients. In this work we show a simple strategy for short-term prediction of Covid-19 ICU beds,…

Due to the large accumulation of patients requiring hospitalization, the COVID-19 pandemic disease caused a high overload of health systems, even in developed countries. Deep learning techniques based on medical imaging data can help in the…

This article presents a new model to predict the evolution of infective diseases under uncertainty or low-quality information, just as it has happened in the initial scenario during the CoVid-19 spread in China and Europe. The model has…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Efren M. Benavides

Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, a significant amount of effort had been put into developing techniques that predict the number of infections under various assumptions about the public policy and non-pharmaceutical interventions. While…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Sharare Zehtabian , Siavash Khodadadeh , Damla Turgut , Ladislau Bölöni

Recommendation models are usually trained on observational interaction data. However, observational interaction data could result from users' conformity towards popular items, which entangles users' real interest. Existing methods tracks…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Yu Zheng , Chen Gao , Xiang Li , Xiangnan He , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Clinical event sequences consist of hundreds of clinical events that represent records of patient care in time. Developing accurate predictive models of such sequences is of a great importance for supporting a variety of models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Jeong Min Lee , Milos Hauskrecht

Bayesian adaptive designs have gained popularity in all phases of clinical trials with numerous new developments in the past few decades. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the need to establish evidence for the effectiveness of vaccines,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Shirin Golchi

Clinicians need to predict patient outcomes with high accuracy as early as possible after disease inception. In this manuscript, we show that patient-to-patient variability sets a fundamental limit on outcome prediction accuracy for a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Manuel Mai , Kun Wang , Greg Huber , Michael Kirby , Mark D. Shattuck , Corey S. O'Hern

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has promoted vigorous scientific activity in an effort to understand, advice and control the pandemic. Data is now freely available at a staggering rate worldwide. Unfortunately, this unprecedented level of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-31 Yuansan Liu , Saransh Srivastava , Zuo Huang , Felisa J. Vázquez-Abad

Due to the characteristics of COVID-19, the epidemic develops rapidly and overwhelms health service systems worldwide. Many patients suffer from systemic life-threatening problems and need to be carefully monitored in ICUs. Thus the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Liantao Ma , Xinyu Ma , Junyi Gao , Chaohe Zhang , Zhihao Yu , Xianfeng Jiao , Wenjie Ruan , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Jiangtao Wang

To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policy-making, we formulated two types of mathematical models for COVID-19 transmission within a regional population. One is a fitting function that can be calibrated to reproduce…

A novel predictive modeling framework for the spread of infectious diseases using high dimensional partial differential equations is developed and implemented. A scalar function representing the infected population is defined on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-06 Sashikumaar Ganesan , Deepak Subramani
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