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User-generated family trees are invaluable for constructing population-scale family networks and studying population dynamics over many generations and far into the past. Family trees contain information on individuals such as birth and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-22 Caglar Koylu , Alice Kasakoff

The effects of the so-called "refugee crisis" of 2015-16 continue to dominate the political agenda in Europe. Migration flows were sudden and unexpected, leaving governments unprepared and exposing significant shortcomings in the field of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-25 Marcello Carammia , Stefano Maria Iacus , Teddy Wilkin

Human mobility patterns deeply affect the dynamics of many social systems. In this paper, we empirically analyze the real-world human movements based GPS records, and observe rich scaling properties in the temporal-spatial patterns as well…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Xiang-Wen Wang , Xiao-Pu Han , Bing-Hong Wang

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

We show here that population growth, resolved at the county level, is spatially heterogeneous both among and within the U.S. metropolitan statistical areas. Our analysis of data for over 3,100 U.S. counties reveals that annual population…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-11 Sandro M. Reia , P. Suresh C. Rao , Marc Barthelemy , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Migration the main process shaping patterns of human settlement within and between countries. It is widely acknowledged to be integral to the process of human development as it plays a significant role in enhancing educational outcomes. At…

General Economics · Economics 2018-12-24 Aude Bernard , Martin Bell

The individual movements of large numbers of people are important in many contexts, from urban planning to disease spreading. Datasets that capture human mobility are now available and many interesting features have been discovered,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-11 James P. Bagrow , Yu-Ru Lin

How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified across five world regions and parameterized with geophysical,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-16 Amrita Punnavajhala , Timothy M. Lenton , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand

Civilization produces knowledge, which acts as the driving force of its development. A macro-model of civilization that accounts for the effect of knowledge production on population, energy consumption and environmental conditions is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Boris M. Dolgonosov

1. Although environmental variability is expected to play a more prominent role under climate change, current demographic models that ignore the differential environmental histories of cohorts across generations are unlikely to accurately…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-01 Pradeep Pillai , Tarik C. Gouhier

The last decades have seen an unprecedented increase in the availability of data sets that are inherently global and temporally evolving, from remotely sensed networks to climate model ensembles. This paper provides a view of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Emilio Porcu , Alfredo Alegría , Reinhard Furrer

Human activity has an enormous impact on Earth, changing organisms, environments and landscapes, leading to the decline of original ecosystems and irreversible changes that create new combinations of living beings and materials. As a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Clara de Goes Monteiro de Carvalho Guimaraes , Pablo Jose Francisco Pena Rodrigues

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

We have witnessed and experienced increasing compound extreme events resulting from simultaneous or sequential occurrence of multiple events in a changing climate. In addition to a growing demand for a clearer explanation of compound risks…

Anthropogenic influences have been linked to tropical cyclone (TC) poleward migration, TC extreme precipitation, and an increased proportion of major hurricanes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Understanding past TC trends and variability is critical for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Buo-Fu Chen , Boyo Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao , Hsu-Feng Teng , Cheng-Shang Lee , Hung-Chi Kuo

Extreme climate events, e.g., droughts, floods, heat waves, and freezes, are becoming more frequent and intense with severe global socio-economic impacts. Growing populations and economic activity leads to increased exposure to these…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-14 Qin Huang , Moyan Liu , Upmanu Lall

Regional climate change in the $21^{st}$ century will result from the interplay between human-induced changes and internal climate variability. Competing effects from greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling have historically caused…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Raphaël Hébert , Thomas Laepple

Evacuation in response to natural disasters is a complex process involving multiple decision-makers at the personal, household, community, and government levels. Consequently, many disparate factors influence who evacuates, when, and how to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Paige Maas , Zack Almquist , Eugenia Giraudy , JW Schneider

Global mobility flow data are at the heart of spatial epidemiological models used to predict infectious disease behavior but this wealth of data on human mobility has been largely neglected by reconstructions of pathogen evolutionary…

The processes of ecological interactions, dispersal and mutations shape the dynamics of biological communities, and analogous eco-evolutionary processes acting upon economic entities have been proposed to explain economic change. This…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-24 Victor Boussange , Didier Sornette , Heike Lischke , Loïc Pellissier