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A linear Gaussian state-space smoothing algorithm is presented for estimation of derivatives from a sequence of noisy measurements. The algorithm uses numerically stable square-root formulas, can handle simultaneous independent measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-17 Robert Piche

In this paper, based on real-time nonlinear receding horizon control methodology, a novel approach is developed for parameter estimation of time invariant and time varying nonlinear dynamical systems in chaotic environments. Here, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Fei Sun , Kamran Turkoglu

We study distributed stochastic convex optimization under the delayed gradient model where the server nodes perform parameter updates, while the worker nodes compute stochastic gradients. We discuss, analyze, and experiment with a setup…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-21 Suvrit Sra , Adams Wei Yu , Mu Li , Alexander J. Smola

Our ability to predict, control, and ultimately understand complex systems rests on discovering the equations that govern their dynamics. Identifying these equations directly from noisy, limited observations has therefore become a central…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Yuzheng Zhang , Weizhen Li , Rui Carvalho

Chaotic systems are intrinsically sensitive to small errors, challenging efforts to construct predictive data-driven models of real-world dynamical systems such as fluid flows or neuronal activity. Prior efforts comprise either specialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Jeffrey Lai , Anthony Bao , William Gilpin

We develop a tractable and flexible approach for incorporating side information into dynamic optimization under uncertainty. The proposed framework uses predictive machine learning methods (such as $k$-nearest neighbors, kernel regression,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord , Bradley Sturt

Obtaining accurate high-resolution representations of model outputs is essential to describe the system dynamics. In general, however, only spatially- and temporally-coarse observations of the system states are available. These observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Mohamad Abed El Rahman Hammoud , Olivier LeMaitre , Edriss S. Titi , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar Knio

Chaotic systems, such as turbulent flows, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. However, their study remains a challenge due to the large range scales, and the strong interaction with other, often not fully understood, physics. As a…

Many important physical processes have dynamics that are too complex to completely model analytically. Optimisation of such processes often relies on intuition, trial-and-error, or the construction of empirical models. Machine learning…

An aggregated method of nonparametric estimators based on time-domain and state-domain estimators is proposed and studied. To attenuate the curse of dimensionality, we propose a factor modeling strategy. We first investigate the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

This paper deals with adaptive synchronization of chaos in the presence of time-varying communication-delays. We consider two bidirectionally coupled systems that seek to synchronize through a signal that each system sends to the other one…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 Francesco Sorrentino , Pietro De Lellis

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

Data assimilation (DA) enables hydrologic models to update their internal states using near-real-time observations for more accurate forecasts. With deep neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM), using either lagged observations…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-25 Amirmoez Jamaat , Yalan Song , Farshid Rahmani , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

We present an adaptive regularization algorithm that can be effectively applied to the optimization problem in deep learning framework. Our regularization algorithm aims to take into account the fitness of data to the current state of model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-02 Junghee Cho , Junseok Kwon , Byung-Woo Hong

Predictions of the future state of the Earth's atmosphere suffer from the consequences of chaos: numerical weather forecast models quickly diverge from observations as uncertainty in the initial state is amplified by nonlinearity. One…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-19 Ross M. Lieb-Lappen , Christopher M. Danforth

Conventional recursive filtering approaches, designed for quantifying the state of an evolving uncertain dynamical system with intermittent observations, use a sequence of (i) an uncertainty propagation step followed by (ii) a step where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Wonjung Lee , Chris Farmer

Chaotic oscillators have gained significant attention in the research community because of their ability to reproduce and investigate the complex dynamics of real-world phenomena. Recent advances in the design of chaotic oscillator…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-19 Toni Ivas , Georgios Violakis , Roland Richter , Patrik Hoffmann , Sergey Shevchik

A novel method, based on the combination of data assimilation and machine learning is introduced. The new hybrid approach is designed for a two-fold scope: (i) emulating hidden, possibly chaotic, dynamics and (ii) predicting their future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

Classical optimization theory deals with fixed, time-invariant objective functions. However, time-varying optimization has emerged as an important subject for decision-making in dynamic environments. In this work, we study the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Muhammad Faraz Ul Abrar , Nicolò Michelusi , Erik G. Larsson

The data-driven recovery of the unknown governing equations of dynamical systems has recently received an increasing interest. However, the identification of governing equations remains challenging when dealing with noisy and partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet