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With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

We introduce closed-form transition density expansions for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes. The expansions rely on a general approximation theory which we develop in weighted Hilbert spaces for random variables which possess…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Damir Filipović , Eberhard Mayerhofer , Paul Schneider

We introduce a new diffusion process Xt to describe asset prices within an economic bubble cycle. The main feature of the process, which differs from existing models, is the drift term where a mean-reversion is taken based on an exponential…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-23 Angelos Dassios , Luting Li

Let $X$ be a regular linear diffusion whose state space is an open interval $E\subseteq\mathbb{R}$. We consider a diffusion $X^*$ which probability law is obtained as a Doob $h$-transform of the law of $X$, where $h$ is a positive harmonic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 L. Alili , P. Graczyk , T. Zak

Consider a single server queue with renewal arrivals and i.i.d. service times in which the server operates under a processor sharing service discipline. To describe the evolution of this system, we use a measure valued process that keeps…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 H. Christian Gromoll

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

For a difference approximations of multidimensional diffusion, the truncated local limit theorem is proved. Under very mild conditions on the distribution of the difference terms, this theorem provides that the transition probabilities of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-16 Alexey M. Kulik

We propose a new scheme for the long time approximation of a diffusion when the drift vector field is not globally Lipschitz. Under this assumption, regular explicit Euler scheme --with constant or decreasing step-- may explode and implicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire

Diffusion models have shown remarkable empirical success in sampling from rich multi-modal distributions. Their inference relies on numerically solving a certain differential equation. This differential equation cannot be solved in closed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Khashayar Gatmiry , Sitan Chen , Adil Salim

This paper introduces Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs), a novel discrete diffusion algorithm for discrete data generation. The algorithm operates in discrete bit space, where the noising process is a continuous-time Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Dario Shariatian , Antonio Ocello , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

We consider deterministic homogenization for discrete-time fast-slow systems of the form $$ X_{k+1} = X_k + n^{-1}a_n(X_k,Y_k) + n^{-1/2}b_n(X_k,Y_k)\;, \quad Y_{k+1} = T_nY_k\;$$ and give conditions under which the dynamics of the slow…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Ilya Chevyrev , Peter K. Friz , Alexey Korepanov , Ian Melbourne , Huilin Zhang

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

While efficient distribution learning is no doubt behind the groundbreaking success of diffusion modeling, its theoretical guarantees are quite limited. In this paper, we provide the first rigorous analysis on approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kazusato Oko , Shunta Akiyama , Taiji Suzuki

We investigate the strong approximation of stochastic differential equations whose drift is square-integrable in time and Dini continuous in space, while the diffusion coefficient is non-constant and uniformly elliptic. Using a refined…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Jinlong Wei , Junhao Hu , Guangying Lv , Chenggui Yuan

We consider the path approximation of Bessel processes and develop a new and efficient algorithm. This study is based on a recent work by the authors, on the path approximation of the Brownian motion, and on the construction of specific own…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Madalina Deaconu , Samuel Herrmann

We consider one-dimensional diffusions, with polynomial drift and diffusion coefficients, so that in particular the motion can be space-inhomogeneous, interacting via one-sided reflections. The prototypical example is the well-known model…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-05 Theodoros Assiotis

In this paper, we consider an importance sampling problem for a certain rare-event simulations involving the behavior of a diffusion process pertaining to a chain of distributed systems with random perturbations. We also assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Getachew K. Befekadu

Using elliptic regularity results in weighted spaces, stochastic calculus and the theory of non-symmetric Dirichlet forms, we first show weak existence of non-symmetric distorted Brownian motion for any starting point in some domain $E$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-16 Michael Röckner , Jiyong Shin , Gerald Trutnau

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

This paper establishes a quantitative, uniform-in-time diffusion approximation for the joint law of a broad class of fully coupled multiscale stochastic systems. We derive a precise characterization of the limiting joint distribution as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Longjie Xie , Xicheng Zhang