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Related papers: Non-stationary Online Regression

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This paper presents early work aiming at the development of a new framework for the design and analysis of algorithms for online learning based prediction and control. Firstly, we consider the task of predicting values of a function or time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Jan-P. Calliess

We develop and describe online algorithms for performing online semiparametric regression analyses. Earlier work on this topic is in Luts, Broderick & Wand (J. Comput. Graph. Statist., 2014) where online mean field variational Bayes was…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-28 Marianne Menictas , Chris J. Oates , Matt P. Wand

In Online Continual Learning (OCL) a learning system receives a stream of data and sequentially performs prediction and training steps. Important challenges in OCL are concerned with automatic adaptation to the particular non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Michalis K. Titsias , Alexandre Galashov , Amal Rannen-Triki , Razvan Pascanu , Yee Whye Teh , Jorg Bornschein

Contextual sequential decision-making problems play a crucial role in machine learning, encompassing a wide range of downstream applications such as bandits, sequential hypothesis testing and online risk control. These applications often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Haichen Hu , Rui Ai , Stephen Bates , David Simchi-Levi

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data violates assumptions made by the model (e.g., Gaussianity).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

We consider the problem of online linear regression in the stochastic setting. We derive high probability regret bounds for online ridge regression and the forward algorithm. This enables us to compare online regression algorithms more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Reda Ouhamma , Odalric Maillard , Vianney Perchet

We consider the problem of estimating piecewise regular functions in an online setting, i.e., the data arrive sequentially and at any round our task is to predict the value of the true function at the next revealed point using the available…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Subhajit Goswami

We study online convex optimization in the random order model, recently proposed by \citet{garber2020online}, where the loss functions may be chosen by an adversary, but are then presented to the online algorithm in a uniformly random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Uri Sherman , Tomer Koren , Yishay Mansour

We study the problem of uncertainty quantification via prediction sets, in an online setting where the data distribution may vary arbitrarily over time. Recent work develops online conformal prediction techniques that leverage regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Aadyot Bhatnagar , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Yu Bai

We are interested in probabilistic prediction in online settings in which data does not follow a probability distribution. Our work seeks to achieve two goals: (1) producing valid probabilities that accurately reflect model confidence; and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

In this paper, we investigate the framework of Online Convex Optimization (OCO) for online learning. OCO offers a very powerful online learning framework for many applications. In this context, we study a specific framework of OCO called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Deepan Muthirayan , Jianjun Yuan , Pramod P. Khargonekar

We study online prediction for marginally stable, partially observed linear dynamical systems under nonstochastic disturbances. Our objective is to minimize the cumulative squared prediction loss and compete with the best-in-hindsight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Chih-Fan Pai , Yang Zheng

A natural goal when designing online learning algorithms for non-stationary environments is to bound the regret of the algorithm in terms of the temporal variation of the input sequence. Intuitively, when the variation is small, it should…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Gautam Goel , Babak Hassibi

We study the problem of online convex optimization (OCO) under unknown linear constraints that are either static, or stochastically time-varying. For this problem, we introduce an algorithm that we term Optimistically Safe OCO (OSOCO) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Spencer Hutchinson , Tianyi Chen , Mahnoosh Alizadeh

Decision-makers often have access to machine-learned predictions about future demand that can help guide online resource allocation decisions. However, such predictions may be inaccurate. We develop a framework for online resource…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Negin Golrezaei , Patrick Jaillet , Zijie Zhou

We study the problem of online non-stochastic control (ONC), which is the control of a linear system under adversarial disturbances and adversarial cost functions, with the aim of minimizing the total cost incurred. A recent line of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Vijeth Hebbar , Spencer Hutchinson , Mahnoosh Alizadeh , Cédric Langbort

Online convex optimization is a sequential prediction framework with the goal to track and adapt to the environment through evaluating proper convex loss functions. We study efficient particle filtering methods from the perspective of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Mahdi Azarafrooz

Online recommender systems often face long delays in receiving feedback, especially when optimizing for some long-term metrics. While mitigating the effects of delays in learning is well-understood in stationary environments, the problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-12 Claire Vernade , Andras Gyorgy , Timothy Mann

We study Online Convex Optimization (OCO) with adversarial constraints, where an online algorithm must make sequential decisions to minimize both convex loss functions and cumulative constraint violations. We focus on a setting where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Jordan Lekeufack , Michael I. Jordan

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption. However, this assumption is often violated in online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-07 Jungbin Jun , Ilsang Ohn