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Earthquake catalog declustering is the procedure of separating event clusters from background seismicity, which is an important task in statistical seismology, earthquake forecasting, and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Several…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-14 Robert Shcherbakov , Sidhanth Kothari

The detection of earthquakes is a fundamental prerequisite for seismology and contributes to various research areas, such as forecasting earthquakes and understanding the crust/mantle structure. Recent advances in machine learning…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-14 Tomoki Tokuda , Hiromichi Nagao

Machine learning techniques are powerful tools for construction of emulators for complex systems. We explore different machine learning methods and conceptual methodologies, ranging from functional approximations to dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Hannah Lu , Dinara Ermakova , Haruko Murakami Wainwright , Liange Zheng , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

This paper illustrates an application of machine learning (ML) within a complex system that performs grade estimation. In surface mining, assay measurements taken from production drilling often provide useful information that allows…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-15 Raymond Leung , Mehala Balamurali , Alexander Lowe

We implement machine learning algorithms to nuclear data. These algorithms are purely data driven and generate models that are capable to capture intricate trends. Gradient boosted trees algorithm is employed to generate a trained model…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-07-24 Nishchal R. Dwivedi

The concept of proper time, which is different from universal time, has been introduced into the physics of earthquakes. The global activity of strong earthquakes was chosen as the object of study. We consider the sequence of earthquakes as…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-25 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

A theoretical analysis of the earthquake prediction problem in space-time is presented. We find an explicit structure of the optimal strategy and its relation to the generalized error diagram. This study is a generalization of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Molchan , V. Keilis-Borok

In recent years, the growing frequency and severity of natural disasters have increased the need for effective tools to manage catastrophe risk. Catastrophe (CAT) bonds allow the transfer of part of this risk to investors, offering an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Julia Kończal , Michał Balcerek , Krzysztof Burnecki

Machine learning models using seismic emissions can predict instantaneous fault characteristics such as displacement in laboratory experiments and slow slip in Earth. Here, we address whether the acoustic emission (AE) from laboratory…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-02-09 Kun Wang , Christopher W. Johnson , Kane C. Bennett , Paul A. Johnson

This paper is an attempt for arguing the possibility for short time when, where and how Earthquakes prediction. The local when Earthquake prediction is based on the connection between geomagnetic quakes and the next incoming minimum or…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Cht. Mavrodiev

Bayesian inference applied to microseismic activity monitoring allows the accurate location of microseismic events from recorded seismograms and the estimation of the associated uncertainties. However, the forward modelling of these…

Earthquake nowcasting has been proposed as a means of tracking the change in large earthquake potential in a seismically active area. The method was developed using observable seismic data, in which probabilities of future large earthquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-21 John B. Rundle , Geoffrey Fox , Andrea Donnellan , Lisa Grant Ludwig

Neural networks are gaining widespread relevance for their versatility, holding the promise to yield a significant methodological shift in different domain of applied research. Here, we provide a simple pedagogical account of the basic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-22 Duccio Fanelli , Luca Bindi , Lorenzo Chicchi , Claudio Pereti , Roberta Sessoli , Simone Tommasini

This study tries to develop new attenuation relationships of peak ground velocity using machine learning methods; random forest and neural network. In order to compare with the predictors obtained by machine learning, we have also…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-11-02 Junjie Wu , Yoshihisa Maruyama , Wen Liu

Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

Modern seismic and volcanic monitoring is increasingly shaped by continuous, multi-sensor observations and by the need to extract actionable information from nonstationary, noisy wavefields. In this context, machine learning has moved from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 William Thorossian

Earthquake monitoring workflows are designed to detect earthquake signals and to determine source characteristics from continuous waveform data. Recent developments in deep learning seismology have been used to improve tasks within…