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We present a Monte Carlo approach to pairs trading on mean-reverting spreads modeled by L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Specifically, we focus on using a variance gamma driving process, an infinite activity pure jump process to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Tim Leung , Kevin W. Lu

Efficient sampling from a high-dimensional Gaussian distribution is an old but high-stake issue. Vanilla Cholesky samplers imply a computational cost and memory requirements which can rapidly become prohibitive in high dimension. To tackle…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-25 Maxime Vono , Nicolas Dobigeon , Pierre Chainais

We develop and analyze a set of new sequential simulation-optimization algorithms for large-scale multi-dimensional discrete optimization via simulation problems with a convexity structure. The "large-scale" notion refers to that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Haixiang Zhang , Zeyu Zheng , Javad Lavaei

We present a method for computing the likelihood of a mixed hitting-time model that specifies durations as the first time a latent L\'evy process crosses a heterogeneous threshold. This likelihood is not generally known in closed form, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-03 Jaap H. Abbring , Tim Salimans

In a high-frequency context, we investigate the efficient estimation of scaling and jump activity parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by a L{\'e}vy process with both diffusion component and pure-jump component. We first…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen

We deal with the efficient parallelization of Bayesian global optimization algorithms, and more specifically of those based on the expected improvement criterion and its variants. A closed form formula relying on multivariate Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-12 Sébastien Marmin , Clément Chevalier , David Ginsbourger

Tau-leaping is a popular discretization method for generating approximate paths of continuous time, discrete space, Markov chains, notably for biochemical reaction systems. To compute expected values in this context, an appropriate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-04 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

This paper presents a novel approach to level set estimation for any function/simulation with an arbitrary number of continuous inputs and arbitrary numbers of continuous responses. We present a method that uses existing data from computer…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 David Edwards , Julie Bessac , Franck Cappello , Scotland Leman

Sampling from various kinds of distributions is an issue of paramount importance in statistics since it is often the key ingredient for constructing estimators, test procedures or confidence intervals. In many situations, the exact sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Avetik Karagulyan

An obvious way to simulate a L\'evy process $X$ is to sample its increments over time $1/n$, thus constructing an approximating random walk $X^{(n)}$. This paper considers the error of such approximation after the two-sided reflection map…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Søren Asmussen , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Motivated by recent studies of record statistics in relation to strongly correlated time series, we consider explicitly the drawdown time of a Levy process, which is defined as the time since it last achieved its running maximum when…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Richard J. Martin , Michael J. Kearney

Multistable L\'evy motions are extensions of L\'evy motions where the stability index is allowed to vary in time. Several constructions of these processes have been introduced recently, based on Poisson and Ferguson-Klass-LePage series…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Xiequan Fan , Jacques Lévy Véhel

We analyze a specific class of random systems that are driven by a symmetric L\'{e}vy stable noise. In view of the L\'{e}vy noise sensitivity to the confining "potential landscape" where jumps take place (in other words, to environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. Zaba , P. Garbaczewski , V. Stephanovich

We study discrete-time simulation schemes for stochastic Volterra equations, namely the Euler and Milstein schemes, and the corresponding Multi-Level Monte-Carlo method. By using and adapting some results from Zhang [22], together with the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Alexandre Richard , Xiaolu Tan , Fan Yang

We consider continuous time Markovian processes where populations of individual agents interact stochastically according to kinetic rules. Despite the increasing prominence of such models in fields ranging from biology to smart cities,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-16 Anastasis Georgoulas , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

Distributional identities for a L\'evy process $X_t$, its quadratic variation process $V_t$ and its maximal jump processes, are derived, and used to make "small time" (as $t\downarrow0$) asymptotic comparisons between them. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Boris Buchmann , Yuguang Fan , Ross A. Maller

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

Advances in data science are leading to new progresses in the analysis and understanding of complex dynamics for systems with experimental and observational data. With numerous physical phenomena exhibiting bursting, flights, hopping, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

The kinetic Langevin dynamics finds diverse applications in various disciplines such as molecular dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling. In this paper, a novel splitting scalar auxiliary variable (SSAV) scheme is proposed for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Lei Dai , Yingsong Jiang , Xiaojie Wang
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