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Analysis of policies for managing epidemics require simultaneously an economic and epidemiological perspective. We adopt a cost-of-policy framework to model both the virus spread and the cost of handling the pandemic. Because it is harder…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-10 Jacob Janssen , Yaneer Bar-Yam

We consider time to treatment initiation. This can commonly occur in preventive medicine, such as disease screening and vaccination; it can also occur with non-fatal health conditions such as HIV infection without the onset of AIDS. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zhichen Zhao , Andrew Ying , Ronghui Xu

We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

In this article, we consider an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with four classes of individuals. We have discussed about basic properties of the system and found the basic reproduction number $R_0$ of the system. The stability analysis of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Nouar Chorfi , Salem Abdelmalek , Samir Bendoukha

The human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine is the most effective way to prevent HPV-related cancers. Integrating provider vaccine counseling is crucial to improving HPV vaccine completion rates. Automating the counseling experience through a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Muhammad Amith , Rebecca Lin , Rachel Cunningham , Qiwei Luna Wu , Lara S. Savas , Yang Gong , Julie A. Boom , Lu Tang , Cui Tao

This paper investigates optimal vaccination strategies in a metapopulation epidemic model. We consider a linear cost to better capture operational considerations, such as the total number of vaccines or hospitalizations, in contrast to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Lucas Machado Moschen , Maria Soledad Aronna

A central challenge in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) public health policy lies in determining whether to universally expand treatment access, despite the risk of sub-optimal adherence and consequent drug resistance, or to adopt a more…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-16 Ashish Poonia , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Motivated by the issue of COVID-19 mitigation, in this work we tackle the general problem of optimally controlling an epidemic outbreak of a communicable disease structured by time since exposure, by the aid of two types of control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-13 Alberto d'Onofrio , Mimmo Iannelli , Piero Manfredi , Gabriela Marinoschi

This paper is about numerical control of HIV propagation. The contribution of the paper is threefold: first, a novel model of HIV propagation is proposed; second, the methods from numerical optimal control are successfully applied to the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Dmitry Gromov , Ingo Bulla , Ethan O. Romero-Severson , Oana Silvia Serea

Human Papillomaviruses (HPV) are one of the most prevalent sexually transmitted infections (STI) and the most oncogenic viruses known to humans. The vast majority of HPV infections clear in less than 3 years, but the underlying mechanisms,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-30 Thomas Beneteau , Christian Selinger , Mircea T. Sofonea , Samuel Alizon

Cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) compare the costs and health outcomes of treatment regimes to inform medical decisions. With observational claims data, CEAs must address nonrandom treatment assignment, administrative censoring, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Esteban Fernández-Morales , Emily M. Ko , Nandita Mitra , Youjin Lee , Arman Oganisian

This work introduces a novel epidemiological model that simultaneously considers multiple viral strains, reinfections due to waning immunity response over time and an optimal control formulation. This enables us to derive optimal mitigation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 Edilson F. Arruda , Dayse H. Pastore , Clauda M. Dias , Shyam S. Das

In this paper, we study the stochastic optimal control problem for the PReP vaccine in the stochastic model for HIV/AIDS with PReP. By using the stochastic maximum principle, we derive the stochastic optimal control of PReP for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Kristina Rognlien Dahl , Jasmina Djordevic

In this paper, we consider an adaptive optimal control problem for an SIR/V epidemic model with human behavioral effects.We develop a model where effective management of infectious diseases are monitored by the means of non pharmaceutical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Nuruzzaman Rahat , Abid Hossain , Muntasir Alam

With a two-layer contact-dispersion model and data in China, we analyze the cost-effectiveness of three types of antiepidemic measures for COVID-19: regular epidemiological control, local social interaction control, and inter-city travel…

The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a policy making crisis where efforts to slow down or end the pandemic conflict with economic priorities. This paper provides mathematical analysis of optimal disease control policies with idealized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Aaron Z. Palmer , Zelda B. Zabinsky , Shan Liu

This study presents a mathematical model for optimal vaccination strategies in interconnected metropolitan areas, considering commuting patterns. It is a compartmental model with a vaccination rate for each city, acting as a control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-29 Lucas Machado Moschen , María Soledad Aronna

A heroin epidemic mathematical model with prevention information and treatment, as control interventions, is analyzed, assuming that an individual's behavioral response depends on the spreading of information about the effects of heroin.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Puthur Thangaraj Sowndarrajan , Lingeshwaran Shangerganesh , Amar Debbouche , Delfim F. M. Torres

The advent and subsequent widespread availability of preventive vaccines has altered the course of public health over the past century. Despite this success, effective vaccines to prevent many high-burden diseases, including HIV, have been…

Existing strategies for determining the optimal treatment or monitoring strategy typically assume unlimited access to resources. However, when a health system has resource constraints, such as limited funds, access to medication, or…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-18 Ellen C Caniglia , Eleanor J Murray , Miguel A Hernan , Zach Shahn