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Although the specification of bivariate probability models using a collection of assumed conditional distributions is not a novel concept, it has received considerable attention in the last decade. In this study, a bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Indranil Ghosh , Mina Norouzirad , Filipe J. Marques

We describe positive generalized functionals in Gaussian Analysis. We focus on distribution spaces larger than the space of Hida Distributions. It is shown that a positive distribution is represented by a measure with specific growth of its…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuri G. Kondratiev , Ludwig Streit , Werner Westerkamp

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

This paper establishes the optimal sub-Gaussian variance proxy for truncated Gaussian and truncated exponential random variables. The proofs rely on first characterizing the optimal variance proxy as the unique solution to a set of two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Mathias Barreto , Olivier Marchal , Julyan Arbel

The goal of this research is to derive an approach to assess uncertainty in an arbitrary volume conditioned by sampling data, without using geostatistical simulation. We have accomplished this goal by deriving an numerical tool suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

Several strategies have been developed recently to ensure valid inference after model selection; some of these are easy to compute, while others fare better in terms of inferential power. In this paper, we consider a selective inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-04 Peter Kovesarki , Ian C. Brock

Bayesian estimation of Gaussian graphical models has proven to be challenging because the conjugate prior distribution on the Gaussian precision matrix, the G-Wishart distribution, has a doubly intractable partition function. Recent…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-10 Max Hinne , Alex Lenkoski , Tom Heskes , Marcel van Gerven

We study parameter estimation in linear Gaussian covariance models, which are $p$-dimensional Gaussian models with linear constraints on the covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood estimation for this class of models leads to a non-convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Piotr Zwiernik , Caroline Uhler , Donald Richards

In many modern regression applications, the response consists of multiple categorical random variables whose probability mass is a function of a common set of predictors. In this article, we propose a new method for modeling such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-15 Aaron J. Molstad , Xin Zhang

Finite mixture such as the Gaussian mixture is a flexible and powerful probabilistic modeling tool for representing the multimodal distribution widely involved in many estimation and learning problems. The core of it is representing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Tiancheng Li , Yan Song , Enbin Song , Hongqi Fan

Conformal prediction is a theoretically grounded framework for constructing predictive intervals. We study conformal prediction with missing values in the covariates -- a setting that brings new challenges to uncertainty quantification. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Julie Josse , Yaniv Romano

Given a decision process based on the approximate probability density function returned by a data assimilation algorithm, an interaction level between the decision making level and the data assimilation level is designed to incorporate the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Gabriel Terejanu , Puneet Singla , Tarunraj Singh , Peter D. Scott

The problem of sequentially maximizing the expectation of a function seeks to maximize the expected value of a function of interest without having direct control on its features. Instead, the distribution of such features depends on a given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-26 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic

We propose probabilistic task modelling -- a generative probabilistic model for collections of tasks used in meta-learning. The proposed model combines variational auto-encoding and latent Dirichlet allocation to model each task as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Cuong C. Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

We obtain exact formulas for the cumulative distribution function of the variance-gamma distribution, as infinite series involving the modified Bessel function of the second kind and the modified Lommel function of the first kind. From…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Robert E. Gaunt

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

We study stochastic optimization problems with objective function given by the expectation of the maximum of two linear functions defined on the component random variables of a multivariate Gaussian distribution. We consider random…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-15 David Bergman , Carlos Cardonha , Jason Imbrogno , Leonardo Lozano

The q-Gaussians are discussed from the point of view of variance mixtures of normals and exchangeability. For each q< 3, there is a q-Gaussian distribution that maximizes the Tsallis entropy under suitable constraints. This paper shows that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Marjorie G. Hahn , Xinxin Jiang , Sabir Umarov