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This paper considers a non-stationary dynamic factor model for large datasets to disentangle long-run from short-run co-movements. We first propose a new Quasi Maximum Likelihood estimator of the model based on the Kalman Smoother and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Matteo Luciani

Using a nonperturbative approach we examine the large frequency asymptotics of the two-point level density correlator in weakly disordered metallic grains. This allows us to study the behavior of the two-level structure factor close to the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 A. V. Andreev , B. L. Altshuler

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Fractionally integrated time series, exhibiting long memory with slowly decaying autocorrelations, are frequently encountered in economics, finance, and related fields. Since the seminal work of Robinson (1995), a variety of semiparametric…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Jason R. Blevins

Within the neurosciences, to observe variability across time in the dynamics of an underlying brain process is neither new nor unexpected. Wavelets are essential in analyzing brain signals because, even within a single trial, brain signals…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jonathan Embleton , Marina I. Knight , Hernando Ombao

For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

A two-time scale asymptotic method has been introduced to analyze the multimodal mean-field Kuramoto-Sakaguchi model of oscillator synchronization in the high-frequency limit. The method allows to uncouple the probability density in…

patt-sol · Physics 2009-10-30 J. A. Acebron , L. L. Bonilla

Oscillators are ubiquitous in nature, and usually associated with the existence of an asymptotic phase that governs the long-term dynamics of the oscillator. % We show that asymptotic phase can be estimated using a carefully chosen series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Simon Wilshin , Matthew D. Kvalheim , Clayton Scott , Shai Revzen

Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Mufang Ying , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

We establish asymptotic expansions for factorial moments of following distributions: number of cycles in a random permutation, number of inversions in a random permutation, and number of comparisons used by the randomized quick sort…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Sumit Kumar Jha

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

We estimate numerically the regularities of a family of Strange Non--Chaotic Attractors related with one of the models studied in C. Grebogy et al. (1984) (see also G. Keller (1996)). To estimate these regularities we use wavelet analysis…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Lluís Alsedà , Josep Maria Mondelo , David Romero i Sànchez

This paper considers the effect of least squares procedures for nearly unstable linear time series with strongly dependent innovations. Under a general framework and appropriate scaling, it is shown that ordinary least squares procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Boris Buchmann , Ngai Hang Chan

We present a new framework for robust estimation and inference on second-order stationary time series and random fields. This framework is based on the Generalized Method of Wavelet Moments which uses the wavelet variance to achieve…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-21 Stéphane Guerrier , Roberto Molinari

Many standard estimators, when applied to adaptively collected data, fail to be asymptotically normal, thereby complicating the construction of confidence intervals. We address this challenge in a semi-parametric context: estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Licong Lin , Koulik Khamaru , Martin J. Wainwright

In a mixed generalized linear model, the goal is to learn multiple signals from unlabeled observations: each sample comes from exactly one signal, but it is not known which one. We consider the prototypical problem of estimating two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Yihan Zhang , Marco Mondelli , Ramji Venkataramanan

Maximum entropy models, motivated by applications in neuron science, are natural generalizations of the $\beta$-model to weighted graphs. Similar to the $\beta$-model, each vertex in maximum entropy models is assigned a potential parameter,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhao , Hong Qin

Detecting anomalies in real-world multivariate time series data is challenging due to complex temporal dependencies and inter-variable correlations. Recently, reconstruction-based deep models have been widely used to solve the problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Junho Song , Keonwoo Kim , Jeonglyul Oh , Sungzoon Cho

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand