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Probabilistic models are often used to make predictions in regions of the data space where no observations are available, but it is not always clear whether such predictions are well-informed by previously seen data. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Kurt Butler , Guanchao Feng , Tong Chen , Petar Djuric

One of the key challenges in revenue management is unconstraining demand data. Existing state of the art single-class unconstraining methods make restrictive assumptions about the form of the underlying demand and can perform poorly when…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-30 Ilan Price , Jaroslav Fowkes , Daniel Hopman

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed immense strain on hospital systems worldwide, leading to critical capacity challenges. This research proposes a two-part framework to optimize hospital capacity through patient relocation strategies. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Sadaf Tabatabaee , Hicham El Baz , Mohammed Khalil Ghali , Nagendra N. Nagarur

We present a new program implementation of the gaussian process regression adaptive density-guided approach [J. Chem. Phys. 153 (2020) 064105] in the MidasCpp program. A number of technical and methodological improvements made allowed us to…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-07-26 Denis G. Artiukhin , Ian H. Godtliebsen , Gunnar Schmitz , Ove Christiansen

COVID 19 is a disease that has abnormal over 170 nations worldwide. The number of infected people (either sick or dead) has been growing at a worrying ratio in virtually all the affected countries. Forecasting procedures can be instructed…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-20 Aseel Sameer Mohamed , Nooriya A. Mohammed

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a significant threat to patient safety and it has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Forecasting future service demand has the potential patient outcomes. Despite active research on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Jalmari Tuominen , Eetu Pulkkinen , Jaakko Peltonen , Juho Kanniainen , Niku Oksala , Ari Palomäki , Antti Roine

Many economies are challenged by the effects of an ageing population, particularly in sectors where resource capacity planning is critical, such as healthcare. This research addresses the operational challenges of bed and staffing capacity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Elizabeth Williams , Daniel Gartner , Paul Harper

Graph models are relevant in many fields, such as distributed computing, intelligent tutoring systems or social network analysis. In many cases, such models need to take changes in the graph structure into account, i.e. a varying number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Benjamin Paaßen , Christina Göpfert , Barbara Hammer

Predicting ambulance demand accurately at a fine resolution in time and space (e.g., every hour and 1 km$^2$) is critical for staff / fleet management and dynamic deployment. There are several challenges: though the dataset is typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Zhengyi Zhou

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a well-recognized threat to patient safety and it has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Accurate forecasts of future service demand could lead to better resource management and has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Jalmari Tuominen , Teemu Koivistoinen , Juho Kanniainen , Niku Oksala , Ari Palomäki , Antti Roine

Objectives. Public health officials need tools to assist with anticipating the healthcare resources required to confront the SARS-COV-2 pandemic. We built a modeling tool to aid practicing public health officials with estimating healthcare…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-14 Gabriel Rainisch , Eduardo A. Undurraga , Gerardo Chowell

This paper is concerned with the problem of how to speed up computation for Gaussian process models trained on autocorrelated data. The Gaussian process model is a powerful tool commonly used in nonlinear regression applications. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Ahmadreza Chokhachian , Matthias Katzfuss , Yu Ding

Accurate channel state information (CSI) is critical for current and next-generation multi-antenna systems. Yet conventional pilot-based estimators incur prohibitive overhead as antenna counts grow. In this paper, we address this challenge…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-05 Syed Luqman Shah , Nurul Huda Mahmood , Italo Atzeni

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

This research employs Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) with an ensemble kernel, integrating Exponential Squared, Revised Mat\'ern, and Rational Quadratic kernels to analyze pharmaceutical sales data. Bayesian optimization was used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Shahin Mirshekari , Mohammadreza Moradi , Hossein Jafari , Mehdi Jafari , Mohammad Ensaf

We use a Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) strategy that was recently developed [3,16,17] to analyze different types of curves that are commonly encountered in parametric eigenvalue problems. We employ an offline-online decomposition…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Moataz Alghamdi , Fleurianne Bertrand , Daniele Boffi , Abdul Halim

Effective management of operating room resources relies on accurate predictions of surgical case durations. This prediction problem is known to be particularly difficult in pediatric hospitals due to the extreme variation in pediatric…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-03 Neal Master , David Scheinker , Nicholas Bambos

Non-stationary time series with non-linear trends are frequently encountered in applications. We consider here the feasibility of accurately forecasting the signals of multiple such time series considering jointly when the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Kerry Fendick

The increasing demand for electricity and the need for clean energy sources have increased solar energy use. Accurate forecasts of solar energy are required for easy management of the grid. This paper compares the accuracy of two Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-13 Edina Chandiwana , Caston Sigauke , Alphonce Bere

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a powerful and elegant method for learning complex functions from noisy data with a wide range of applications, including in safety-critical domains. Such applications have two key features: (i) they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Robert Reed , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian