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Most work on supervised learning research has focused on marginal predictions. In decision problems, joint predictive distributions are essential for good performance. Previous work has developed methods for assessing low-order predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Ian Osband , Zheng Wen , Seyed Mohammad Asghari , Vikranth Dwaracherla , Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

Temporal prediction is inherently uncertain, but representing the ambiguity in natural image sequences is a challenging high-dimensional probabilistic inference problem. For natural scenes, the curse of dimensionality renders explicit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Pierre-Étienne H. Fiquet , Eero P. Simoncelli

Structured distributions, i.e. distributions over combinatorial spaces, are commonly used to learn latent probabilistic representations from observed data. However, scaling these models is bottlenecked by the high computational and memory…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Justin T. Chiu , Yuntian Deng , Alexander M. Rush

We propose a data segmentation methodology for the high-dimensional linear regression problem where regression parameters are allowed to undergo multiple changes. The proposed methodology, MOSEG, proceeds in two stages: first, the data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Haeran Cho , Dom Owens

Soft demodulation of received symbols into bit log-likelihood ratios (LLRs) is at the very heart of multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) detection. However, the optimal maximum a posteriori (MAP) detector is complicated and infeasible to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-18 Jiankun Zhang , Hao Wang , Jing Qian , Zhenxing Gao

We propose the K-series estimation approach for the recovery of unknown univariate and multivariate distributions given knowledge of a finite number of their moments. Our method is directly applicable to the probabilistic analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Andrey Kofnov , Ezio Bartocci , Efstathia Bura

This paper proposes a probabilistic neural network developed on the basis of time-series discriminant component analysis (TSDCA) that can be used to classify high-dimensional time-series patterns. TSDCA involves the compression of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Hideaki Hayashi , Taro Shibanoki , Keisuke Shima , Yuichi Kurita , Toshio Tsuji

We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Alkis Gotovos , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause , Stefanie Jegelka

The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization of directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework for estimating Granger causality is essential in order to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Angeliki Papana , Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

We give a polynomial-time algorithm for learning high-dimensional halfspaces with margins in $d$-dimensional space to within desired TV distance when the ambient distribution is an unknown affine transformation of the $d$-fold product of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Xinyuan Cao , Santosh S. Vempala

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

We introduce and study two new inferential challenges associated with the sequential detection of change in a high-dimensional mean vector. First, we seek a confidence interval for the changepoint, and second, we estimate the set of indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-03 Yudong Chen , Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

In inverse problems, the parameters of a model are estimated based on observations of the model response. The Bayesian approach is powerful for solving such problems; one formulates a prior distribution for the parameter state that is…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-08 Max Ehre , Rafael Flock , Martin Fußeder , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

We study the problem of propagating the mean and covariance of a general multivariate Gaussian distribution through a deep (residual) neural network using layer-by-layer moment matching. We close a longstanding gap by deriving exact moment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

An important theme in modern inverse problems is the reconstruction of time-dependent data from only finitely many measurements. To obtain satisfactory reconstruction results in this setting it is essential to strongly exploit temporal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Martin Holler , Alexander Schlüter , Benedikt Wirth