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Modern generative machine learning models demonstrate surprising ability to create realistic outputs far beyond their training data, such as photorealistic artwork, accurate protein structures, or conversational text. These successes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 William Gilpin

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

Stochastic processes have found numerous applications in science, as they are broadly used to model a variety of natural phenomena. Due to their intrinsic randomness and uncertainty, they are, however, difficult to characterize. Here, we…

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

Developing accurate and efficient coarse-grained representations of proteins is crucial for understanding their folding, function, and interactions over extended timescales. Our methodology involves simulating proteins with molecular…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-11 Carles Navarro , Maciej Majewski , Gianni de Fabritiis

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Data-based discovery of effective, coarse-grained (CG) models of high-dimensional dynamical systems presents a unique challenge in computational physics and particularly in the context of multiscale problems. The present paper offers a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

The combination of high-dimensionality and disparity of time scales encountered in many problems in computational physics has motivated the development of coarse-grained (CG) models. In this paper, we advocate the paradigm of data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-03-05 L. Felsberger , P. S. Koutsourelakis

While representation learning has been central to the rise of machine learning and artificial intelligence, a key problem remains in making the learned representations meaningful. For this, the typical approach is to regularize the learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Dedi Wang , Yihang Wang , Luke Evans , Pratyush Tiwary

A hidden Markov process is a well known concept in information theory and is used for a vast range of applications such as speech recognition and error correction. We bridge between two disciplines, experimental physics and advanced…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ido Kanter , Aviad Frydman , Asaf Ater

Using an information theoretic point of view, we investigate how a dynamics acting on a network can be coarse grained through the use of graph partitions. Specifically, we are interested in how aggregating the state space of a Markov…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-07 Mauro Faccin , Michael T. Schaub , Jean-Charles Delvenne

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Modelling stochastic systems has many important applications. Normal form coordinate transforms are a powerful way to untangle interesting long term macroscale dynamics from detailed microscale dynamics. We explore such coordinate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-13 A. J. Roberts

In simulations of multiscale dynamical systems, not all relevant processes can be resolved explicitly. Taking the effect of the unresolved processes into account is important, which introduces the need for paramerizations. We present a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Daan Crommelin , Wouter Edeling

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

This project is going to work with one example of stochastic matrix to understand how Markov chains evolve and how to use them to make faster and better decisions only looking to the present state of the system.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Ricardo Frumento

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec