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In this paper, we present a novel framework to synthesize robust strategies for discrete-time nonlinear systems with random disturbances that are unknown, against temporal logic specifications. The proposed framework is data-driven and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-29 Ibon Gracia , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo , Alessandro Abate , Morteza Lahijanian

Some challenging problems in tracking multiple objects include the time-dependent cardinality, unordered measurements and object parameter labeling. In this paper, we employ Bayesian Bayesian nonparametric methods to address these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Bahman Moraffah , Antonia Papndreou-Suppopola

When incorporating historical control data into the analysis of current randomized controlled trial data, it is critical to account for differences between the datasets. When the cause of the difference is an unmeasured factor and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Tomohiro Ohigashi , Kazushi Maruo , Takashi Sozu , Masahiko Gosho

Datasets containing large samples of time-to-event data arising from several small heterogeneous groups are commonly encountered in statistics. This presents problems as they cannot be pooled directly due to their heterogeneity or analyzed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Alexandre Piché , Russell Steele , Ian Shrier , Stephanie Long

Interpretation of common-yet-challenging interaction scenarios can benefit well-founded decisions for autonomous vehicles. Previous research achieved this using their prior knowledge of specific scenarios with predefined models, limiting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Chengyuan Zhang , Jiacheng Zhu , Wenshuo Wang , Junqiang Xi

We study infinite-horizon stochastic optimal control problems with observable side information: a Markov chain that modulates an unknown context-conditional randomness distribution. Since this distribution is unknown, we propose a Bayesian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Johannes Milz , Alexander Shapiro , Enlu Zhou

Stochastic Model Predictive Control addresses uncertainties by incorporating chance constraints that provide probabilistic guarantees of constraint satisfaction. However, simultaneously optimizing over the risk allocation and the feedback…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Filipe Marques Barbosa , Johan Löfberg

It is known that neural networks have the problem of being over-confident when directly using the output label distribution to generate uncertainty measures. Existing methods mainly resolve this issue by retraining the entire model to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Maohao Shen , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Soumya Ghosh , Subhro Das , Gregory Wornell

We consider stochastic optimization under distributional uncertainty, where the unknown distributional parameter is estimated from streaming data that arrive sequentially over time. Moreover, data may depend on the decision of the time when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Tianyi Liu , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

Recently, a novel linear model predictive control algorithm based on a physics-informed Gaussian Process has been introduced, whose realizations strictly follow a system of underlying linear ordinary differential equations with constant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Adrian Lepp , Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow

In this paper, we consider the closed-loop control problem of nonlinear robotic systems in the presence of probabilistic uncertainties and disturbances. More precisely, we design a state feedback controller that minimizes deviations of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Weiqiao Han , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

Many control problems require repeated tuning and adaptation of controllers across distinct closed-loop tasks, where data efficiency and adaptability are critical. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian optimization (BO) framework that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Sebastian Hirt , Lukas Theiner , Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

Despite the celebrated success of stochastic control approaches for uncertain systems, such approaches are limited in the ability to handle non-Gaussian uncertainties. This work presents an adaptive robust control for linear uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Xuehui Ma , Shiliang Zhang , Zhiyong Sun , Xiaohui Zhang , Sabita Maharjan

We consider a class of stochastic impulse control problems of general stochastic processes i.e. not necessarily Markovian. Under fairly general conditions we establish existence of an optimal impulse control. We also prove existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-18 Boualem Djehiche , Said Hamadene , Ibtissam Hdhiri

In this paper we consider the problem of dynamic clustering, where cluster memberships may change over time and clusters may split and merge over time, thus creating new clusters and destroying existing ones. We propose a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Maria De Iorio , Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Lifeng Ye

We study a discrete-time portfolio selection problem with partial information and maxi\-mum drawdown constraint. Drift uncertainty in the multidimensional framework is modeled by a prior probability distribution. In this Bayesian framework,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-02 Carmine De Franco , Johann Nicolle , Huyên Pham

This paper presents the open-source stochastic model predictive control framework GRAMPC-S for nonlinear uncertain systems with chance constraints. It provides several uncertainty propagation methods to predict stochastic moments of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-25 Daniel Landgraf , Andreas Völz , Knut Graichen

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

We study Bayesian optimal control of a general class of smoothly parameterized Markov decision problems. Since computing the optimal control is computationally expensive, we design an algorithm that trades off performance for computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Csaba Szepesvari

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio