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The development of a new diagnostic test ideally follows a sequence of stages which, amongst other aims, evaluate technical performance. This includes an analytical validity study, a diagnostic accuracy study and an interventional clinical…

We study regression discontinuity designs when covariates are included in the estimation. We examine local polynomial estimators that include discrete or continuous covariates in an additive separable way, but without imposing any…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-02 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Rocio Titiunik

Partial Least Squares (PLS) refer to a class of dimension-reduction techniques aiming at the identification of two sets of components with maximal covariance, to model the relationship between two sets of observed variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-23 Lola Etievant , Vivian Viallon

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

We develop a computational framework for D-optimal experimental design for PDE-based Bayesian linear inverse problems with infinite-dimensional parameters. We follow a formulation of the experimental design problem that remains valid in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-17 Alen Alexanderian , Arvind K. Saibaba

To design Bayesian studies, criteria for the operating characteristics of posterior analyses - such as power and the type I error rate - are often assessed by estimating sampling distributions of posterior probabilities via simulation. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

We consider the problem of approximating a function from $L^2$ by an element of a given $m$-dimensional space $V_m$, associated with some feature map $\boldsymbol{\varphi}$, using evaluations of the function at random points $x_1,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Anthony Nouy , Bertrand Michel

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with continuous state and observation spaces have powerful flexibility for representing real-world decision and control problems but are notoriously difficult to solve. Recent online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Michael H. Lim , Claire J. Tomlin , Zachary N. Sunberg

Additive regression models are actively researched in the statistical field because of their usefulness in the analysis of responses determined by non-linear relationships with multivariate predictors. In this kind of statistical models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 German A. Schnaidt Grez , Brani Vidakovic

We develop and analyze a set of new sequential simulation-optimization algorithms for large-scale multi-dimensional discrete optimization via simulation problems with a convexity structure. The "large-scale" notion refers to that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Haixiang Zhang , Zeyu Zheng , Javad Lavaei

The Lasso is one of the most important approaches for parameter estimation and variable selection in high dimensional linear regression. At the heart of its success is the attractive rate of convergence result even when $p$, the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Junlong Zhao , Chenlei Leng

We provide a systematic deterministic numerical scheme to approximate the volume (i.e. the Lebesgue measure) of a basic semi-algebraic set whose description follows a sparsity pattern. As in previous works (without sparsity), the underlying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Matteo Tacchi , Tillmann Weisser , Jean-Bernard Lasserre , Didier Henrion

A Bayesian design is given by maximising an expected utility over a design space. The utility is chosen to represent the aim of the experiment and its expectation is taken with respect to all unknowns: responses, parameters and/or models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

We propose a scalable algorithmic framework for exact Bayesian variable selection and model averaging in linear models under the assumption that the Gram matrix is block-diagonal, and as a heuristic for exploring the model space for general…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-04 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , David Rossell

Efficient algorithms for searching for optimal saturated designs are widely available. They maximize a given efficiency measure (such as D-optimality) and provide an optimum design. Nevertheless, they do not guarantee a \emph{global}…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-29 Roberto Fontana

Variational representations of divergences and distances between high-dimensional probability distributions offer significant theoretical insights and practical advantages in numerous research areas. Recently, they have gained popularity in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis

We consider a novel Bayesian approach to estimation, uncertainty quantification, and variable selection for a high-dimensional linear regression model under sparsity. The number of predictors can be nearly exponentially large relative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghoshal

We introduce a very general method for sparse and large-scale variable selection. The large-scale regression settings is such that both the number of parameters and the number of samples are extremely large. The proposed method is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Jelena Bradic

Conformal Prediction is a widely studied technique to construct prediction sets of future observations. Most conformal prediction methods focus on achieving the necessary coverage guarantees, but do not provide formal guarantees on the size…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Chao Gao , Liren Shan , Vaidehi Srinivas , Aravindan Vijayaraghavan

This paper puts forward a new generalized polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), referred to as GPDD, comprising hierarchically ordered measure-consistent multivariate orthogonal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Sharif Rahman